x/f twopair vs a fish?!

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x/f twopair vs a fish?!

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (9 Players) MP: $39.35
MP+1: $25.00
MP+2: $15.71
CO: $29.69
BN: $32.92
SB: $25.00
BB: $25.40 (Hero)
UTG: $25.00
UTG+1: $31.09
MP+2: 60/8 250
SB is a tight reg
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with 8 2
4 folds, MP+2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks
Flop ($0.75) 4 2 8
SB checks, Hero bets $0.36, MP+2 calls $0.36, SB folds
I think I wanna lead vs a seemingly calling station (based on his stats). Could go slightly bigger, but wanted to get called by any 2OC.
Turn ($1.47) 4 2 8 7
Hero bets $1.92, MP+2 calls $1.92
Dont like x/calling since pair+draw type of hands might easily just check back.. I think that his calling range is pretty inelastic (8x, pair+draw,twopairs).
River ($5.31) 4 2 8 7 5
Hero checks, MP+2 bets $5.07, Hero folds
here I wasnt sure whether I want to block bet and bet/fold or c/c up to 1/2 (expect some worse twopairs..) or just x/f.

Now I think I like to just bet fold to get max value from 8x and weaker twopairs.. I would probably made it around 1/3 of the pot. Dont expect to get bluffed often enough.. maybe some T9, but I really think that this guy(60/8) is checking back such a hand like that pretty frequently. I also dont expect many thin value bets, so thats another reason for betting.
Final Pot MP+2 wins $5.07
Rake is $0.24

Thoughts?

2 Comments

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joe_h3 4 years, 8 months ago

I like the way you played flop and turn, although I agree you could go bigger on the flop.

As you’ve correctly pointed out, a fish’s range is likely to be inelastic, which allows us to bet exploitatively big with value and size down when we’re bluffing. I’d go closer to 3/4 pot here and expect the fish’s range not to contract at all.

I like the turn play. We can defo get called by worse hands vs this player type.

I agree with your river thought process and think either check/fold or bet/fold is the way to go.

Against a passive fish, I think check/calling isn’t a high EV line. They call wider than they bet, so we put money in against the stronger hands in his range by check/calling.

It’s thin, but I’d probably lean towards bet/folding about 1/2 pot. I think we can still get called by some 1-pair hands. Vs a raise it’s the easiest fold of our lives.

Overall I think you played the hand well and that your thought process is really sound.

MattS 4 years, 8 months ago

Could the flop bet be bigger for value?

Turn bet is perfect.

River:
I would bet the closest to a quarter I can on the river so that I can still look at myself in the mirror the next morning, then fold to a raise

As played, I can't decide if the correct sequence of events is folding and then throwing up or throwing up and then folding.

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