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What to do with AA on horrible river?

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What to do with AA on horrible river?

WPN, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $0.40 (20 bb)
Hero (BB): $2.20 (110 bb)
UTG: $1.97 (98.5 bb)
MP: $4.55 (227.5 bb)
CO: $2.11 (105.5 bb)
BTN: $2.85 (142.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Ah Ac
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.06, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.18, MP calls $0.12

Flop: ($0.37) 3d Ts Qd (2 players)
Hero bets $0.24, MP calls $0.24

Turn: ($0.85) 4s (2 players)
Hero bets $0.56, MP calls $0.56

River: ($1.97) Kd (2 players)
Hero??

I was just hitting the 2/3 button on ACR which I usually do, setting up for a river jam. However, in this particular spot I think sizing up on the turn is necessary. There's two flush draws, and a ton of river cards that I am going to have to check and probably fold.

What would you do in this situation, if you say you would check, would you snap fold to a shove?

I have no idea how to format WPN hands. If there is a better way please let me know.

10 Comments

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Samu Patronen 9 years, 9 months ago

Seems like an easy check/fold. There's no way we can valuebet:

Even if villain calls with AQ everytime (which he probably does not do), we only have 38% versus this calling range. So checking seems like the way to start the river. I also forgot 33, QTs even.

If villain bets the river I would probably fold. Versus QQ/TT/KQ/AJs range we have 0% equity. Villain definitely checks all his one pair hands back, so we don't beat any valuehands. We beat only bluffs, but I don't see many bluffs in villains range, because he can't really have air. If he bluffs, he has a hand like JT or QJ that he turns into a bluff, but it seems unlikely to me that villain would turn these into a bluff too often.

I would check/fold, very bad river for us.

morningview 9 years, 9 months ago

Yeah this is kind of what I was thinking, thanks for actually putting it in equilab.

I was playing too many tables and kind of auto piloted and decided I didn't want to see villain check AQ or AK behind, so I had to make a quick decision and decided to close my eyes and punt my stack off to J9dd.

Going to start trying to play fewer tables because I think I could have rationally come to this conclusion had I thought for a bit longer.

Slava Brat 9 years, 9 months ago

OTR, its a check with AA. If opponent bets, you are indifferent to calling against smart villain who will bluff QJ, AQ or KJ. Against other opponents, its even easier to find a fold here.

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