What is better to shove on Turn or call
Posted by opapa
Posted by opapa posted in Mid Stakes
What is better to shove on Turn or call
Dear Friends,
Live game
1/2 USD
I am on CO with Ad9d diamonds raising 11 USD, tight player from BB call. I don't have any accurate notes on this player.
POT (23 USD)
Flop come Jd7h6s i c bet 12 USD, BB calls
POT (47 USD)
Turn come 8d
Now i have flush draw with straight draw and i c bet 26 USD and opponent raise me to 60 USD
Now Pot 47 + 26 + 60 = 133 USD
I have 120 USD behind. It is 34 USD to call or 120 USD to push.
I think opponent range there 67, 68, 87, 66, 77, J8 it is all 42 combos if i push 120 USD(for 133) i think he fold 67, 68, 87 and calls with J8, 66, 77(15 combos)
15/42 = 35% he calls me.
So it looks better to push then to call ? i understand that after my shove pot will be 253 USD and he need to put only 86 USD, but i sure that he can fold 67, 87, 86.
Even if i put to range 88, T9 straight, it will be combo 61 and after my shove and fold of 68, 67, 87 it will be 34 combos to call 55% that he calls but some times after his call i win with on river with Flush o straight.
Waiting any comments
Maybe you know any software that can calculate all this and can help me with accurate calculation.
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