What hands should I bluff on the river?
Posted by Federico Mazzini
Posted by
Federico Mazzini
posted in
Low Stakes
What hands should I bluff on the river?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (2 Players)
BB: $82.12 (Hero)
SB: $52.56
SB: $52.56
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BB with
T
4
,
I open 87% against him
He defend pretty much this stuffs: http://gyazo.com/fe5114d63d04b65cddd4f1dd602c4e41
He defend pretty much this stuffs: http://gyazo.com/fe5114d63d04b65cddd4f1dd602c4e41
Flop
($2.50)
9
4
8
,
Board: 9h4h8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 49.30% 48.10% 1.20% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T2o+, 95o+, 85o+, 74o+, 64o+, 54o }
CO 50.70% 49.49% 1.20% { 44-22, K7s-K2s, Q8s-Q2s, J8s-J2s, T7s-T2s, 96s-94s, 85s-84s, 75s-74s, 64s, 54s, Td8d, Th8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9d7d, 9h7h, 8d7d, 8h7h, 8d6d, 8h6h, 7d6d, 7h6h, 6d5d, 6h5h, ATo-A2o, KJo-K2o, Q4o+, J6o+, T6o+, 97o+, 86o+, 76o }
We are 50-50 but I would have all sets and 2P and he's not and also I would have all overpair and he's not. So I would cbet around 60% here. So I would bet some 8x and I should do so, I think, cause he was not defending by x/r a lot.
That's what I would xb on the flop: http://gyazo.com/9b89975a0013b008d964a9c03cb65830
Equity Win Tie
MP2 49.30% 48.10% 1.20% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T2o+, 95o+, 85o+, 74o+, 64o+, 54o }
CO 50.70% 49.49% 1.20% { 44-22, K7s-K2s, Q8s-Q2s, J8s-J2s, T7s-T2s, 96s-94s, 85s-84s, 75s-74s, 64s, 54s, Td8d, Th8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9d7d, 9h7h, 8d7d, 8h7h, 8d6d, 8h6h, 7d6d, 7h6h, 6d5d, 6h5h, ATo-A2o, KJo-K2o, Q4o+, J6o+, T6o+, 97o+, 86o+, 76o }
We are 50-50 but I would have all sets and 2P and he's not and also I would have all overpair and he's not. So I would cbet around 60% here. So I would bet some 8x and I should do so, I think, cause he was not defending by x/r a lot.
That's what I would xb on the flop: http://gyazo.com/9b89975a0013b008d964a9c03cb65830
Turn
($2.50)
9
4
8
Q
,
I do not have a raising range on this card cause he has all JT,Q9,Q8 sets and I don't.
I would call with: http://gyazo.com/998e4b075448fe1b44d69c82a220c4df
I would call with: http://gyazo.com/998e4b075448fe1b44d69c82a220c4df
River
($6.04)
9
4
8
Q
6
,
What Hands should I bluff on the river?
I would have just 5 combos of Axh (and all 5 have at least a pair) so if I would raise with flushes and sets wich are 16 combos
What are the other 3 combos you choose here? Would ou bluff the Axh with pair (A8-9) or just bluffcatch?
I would have just 5 combos of Axh (and all 5 have at least a pair) so if I would raise with flushes and sets wich are 16 combos
What are the other 3 combos you choose here? Would ou bluff the Axh with pair (A8-9) or just bluffcatch?
Final Pot
SB wins $5.71
Rake is $0.33
Rake is $0.33
ty so much everyone :)
Loading 3 Comments...
We probably rarely will have flushes here and I don't see how we can have sets here.
I think you can defend this river by calling without bluff raising (but if you ever want to bluff raise, I'd say best hands are smth like 8Kh, 8Qh). I think Q favors your range more than his, so when he leads on a Q-turn, he cannot expect 2-streets of value from your 8x and worser hands. I would expect him having a lot of Jx and Tx w/o a pair in this spot. And I don't think we can call much of our gutshots on turn. I believe we can raise turn for value with strong Qx from our x-back range. I find that people rarely bet-3bet in this spot, they rather call with their draws or sd-hands.
If I helped, please like this reply.
I don't think the Qx is a great card for our range given we remove most JT/QJ/QT, Qh combos from our range when we xb flop. I think our river raising range should only be comprised of flushes and flush-blockers. I would use some 8h combos for bluffs, stuff like Kh8x and even some AhTx type combos to balance our Axhh, 8xhh value-raises - be mindful to keep your frequencies in check though!
Wow I suggested Kh8 as coach did :) maybe I am getting better :)
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