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Weak TP in 3b pot, call rvr?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Weak TP in 3b pot, call rvr?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $24.65
SB: $45.59
BB: $41.28 (Hero)
UTG: $23.67
MP: $37.65
CO: $45.57
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with 5 A
3 folds, BN raises to $0.75, SB calls $0.65, Hero raises to $3.10, BN folds, SB calls $2.35
Flop ($6.95) 8 3 K
SB checks, Hero bets $3.45, SB calls $3.45
Turn ($13.85) 8 3 K A
SB checks, Hero checks
River ($13.85) 8 3 K A Q
SB bets $8.00

I squeeze pre because BTN and SB are folding too much. Villain is 24/20 with 5.6% 3b over 326 hands, but hasn't 3b from SB once. Villain is folding to 83% of 3bets, though I 3b this guy a lot and we're deeper so I think his calling range is wider than stats suggest.

I cbet flop because villain is folding to 67% in 3bet pots, and particularly on this flop I think he is folding enough to make betting very +EV.

The turn is interesting because I'd be betting all my bluffs here, but betting A5 seems way too thin, so I check back.

OTR his bet is fishy as fuck because he doesn't have many strong hands in his range besides a few flush draws and 88/33, I don't think he'd bet a hand like AcJx here and I also don't think he bets KQ very often because I am going to turn up with better 2pair a lot, I also think he has to turn all of his pocket pairs with a club into a bluff OTR.

I think this is a pretty clear call, but I wanted to check that my thought process is not waaaaaay off.

Let me know what you guys think.

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