Weak TP in 3b pot, call rvr?
Posted by SAULGOODMAN
Posted by SAULGOODMAN posted in Low Stakes
Weak TP in 3b pot, call rvr?
SB: $45.59
BB: $41.28 (Hero)
UTG: $23.67
MP: $37.65
CO: $45.57
I squeeze pre because BTN and SB are folding too much. Villain is 24/20 with 5.6% 3b over 326 hands, but hasn't 3b from SB once. Villain is folding to 83% of 3bets, though I 3b this guy a lot and we're deeper so I think his calling range is wider than stats suggest.
I cbet flop because villain is folding to 67% in 3bet pots, and particularly on this flop I think he is folding enough to make betting very +EV.
The turn is interesting because I'd be betting all my bluffs here, but betting A5 seems way too thin, so I check back.
OTR his bet is fishy as fuck because he doesn't have many strong hands in his range besides a few flush draws and 88/33, I don't think he'd bet a hand like AcJx here and I also don't think he bets KQ very often because I am going to turn up with better 2pair a lot, I also think he has to turn all of his pocket pairs with a club into a bluff OTR.
I think this is a pretty clear call, but I wanted to check that my thought process is not waaaaaay off.
Let me know what you guys think.
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