Out Now
×

Villains River Range when he leads here? (NL25 Zoom)

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Villains River Range when he leads here? (NL25 Zoom)

BN: $28.75
SB: $30.75
BB: $26.32
UTG: $30.41
HJ: $37.31 (Hero)
CO: $25.35
32 Hands: 38/26 (54 PostflopAgg%)
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 5
UTG raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, CO calls $0.75, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($2.60) J 3 J (3 Players)
UTG bets $1.24, Hero calls $1.24, CO folds
Turn ($5.08) J 3 J 8 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.60, UTG calls $2.60
River ($10.28) J 3 J 8 8 (2 Players)
UTG bets $4.91
Is he ever light here and do we have any fold equity if we wanted to bluff or do we give up 100%?
Until the Turn I can see a lot of AcX, AA-99 that might fold on the River but when he leads I feel this is almost exclusively full houses or better. What do you think?

The reason I am asking is that I did try to bluff in game and want to learn what I can from it going wrong.

2 Comments

Loading 2 Comments...

Getready2rokk 10 years, 10 months ago

He looks a bit wild but what can you say when its only 32 hands.

I would prefer to check turn and try to win a showdown i think although a protection bet issnt the worst when we hold a underpair on a pairedboard. As played its a pretty weird river lead, but the fact that i think he might be fishy makes me want to give up. I see them having Jx,8x, or even call the raise with Ax. I think we got better hands to bluff with anyway.

TimberSK 10 years, 10 months ago
Thanks again. If we wanted to bluff that river (which we probably don't), what sizing would you go for? He leads with $4,91 into a pot of $10,28, effective stacks behind are $20,41. If I had a Jack I would want to shove - is there a reasonable alternative for a bluff?
My guess is that he could possibly fold Ac high to a minraise, call w/ an 8 and higher pocket pairs and reraise his Jacks whereas he could maybe sometimes an 8 or worse to a shove and a shove only.
The fact remains it is a bad bluff, but these seem to be quite a leak of mine and I am looking into the details now. Hence my question about the sizing of a potential bluff.

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy