Value bet river?
Posted by Chael Sonnen
Posted by
Chael Sonnen
posted in
Mid Stakes
Value bet river?
BN: Hero: $220.93
SB: klipps: $188.85
BB: Hookz: $883.36
UTG: Bupal_gdy: $272
HJ: cmore1985: $200
CO: _KAL_EL2121_: $410.51
SB: klipps: $188.85
BB: Hookz: $883.36
UTG: Bupal_gdy: $272
HJ: cmore1985: $200
CO: _KAL_EL2121_: $410.51
Villian is unknown
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
K
Bupal_gdy folds, cmore1985 raises to $6, _KAL_EL2121_ folds, Hero raises to $18, klipps folds, Hookz folds, cmore1985 calls $12
Bupal_gdy folds, cmore1985 raises to $6, _KAL_EL2121_ folds, Hero raises to $18, klipps folds, Hookz folds, cmore1985 calls $12
Decided to 3-bet bluff. Don't have any stats on this guy right now, but I assume I bluffed here because he's too loose, or that he folds to too many 3-bets.
Flop
($39.00)
6
7
K
(2 Players)
cmore1985 checks,
Hero bets $19,
cmore1985 calls $19
On a board this dry my fold equity doesn't really change with bet sizes, and I don't need to protect from much.
Since I assume he 4-bet AK, I have close to the nuts here.
Since I assume he 4-bet AK, I have close to the nuts here.
Turn
($77.00)
6
7
K
5
(2 Players)
cmore1985 checks,
Hero bets $42,
cmore1985 calls $42
Definitely not a great card because 65s, 98 got there, but I think betting for value/protection again is best.
River
($161.00)
6
7
K
5
4
(2 Players)
cmore1985 checks
This runout hits his range better than mine, though I don't think he has many straights here. He might expect me to bluff this scarecard, so should value bet more thinly.
So, value bet or not?
So, value bet or not?
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