Understanding 'Preflop Hands EV' and making use of Aggregated reports
Posted by mozzie17
Posted by mozzie17 posted in Mid Stakes
Understanding 'Preflop Hands EV' and making use of Aggregated reports
Hey friends,
I recently ran a SB vs BTN 3bet spot w 2.5% rake 2bb cap.
I gave BTN a calling range of what I feel my reg opponents usually call and gave SB a generic 17% 3b range.
SB 3bet range: https://gyazo.com/f568b9f48626d6b8ee0763e506da8446
BTN calling range: https://gyazo.com/790bea5045464109103ac6f82867b808
The 3bet size from SB is 10.5BBs. Now folding a hand preflop yields '-0.5bbs' so every hands EV should atleast be 10bb (10.5bb-0.5bb) to make it a more profitable 3bet than open folding it.
So i ran a script and these were the 'Preflop Hands EV' which PIO spit out-
https://gyazo.com/f90b16db5a4ea67402ec012331d4e8fd
Strangely enough the only hands in SB which make over 10bb on average are [66+ AQs+], Thats only 5.58% range.
Everything else like AQo,AJs, KQs were better preflop folds than 3bets(?)
This seems strange. Could someone shed light on why is this happening.
Am i understanding something wrong or Is it because of the rake structure or the fact that IP is slowplaying some AA/KK/AK that hits OOP's EV or the 3bet size is just way too big for 100bbs.
Thanks for reading thus far and I'm grateful for comments if any,
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