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Turn semi-bluff concept I really need help with

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Turn semi-bluff concept I really need help with

BN: Sararauj: $215.42
SB: zadrotmode: $513.16
BB: jak_paist0r: $410.97
UTG: Hero: $381.13
HJ: Diablo_Russ: $68.20
CO: TimK0123: $258.72
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q T
Hero raises to $6, Diablo_Russ calls $6, TimK0123 folds, Sararauj calls $6, zadrotmode folds, jak_paist0r folds
Some players fold this hand UTG, but I don't.
Flop ($21.00) K 5 J (3 Players)
Hero bets $15, Diablo_Russ folds, Sararauj calls $15
Standard c-bet with the biggest draw I can flop.

His/her calling range should look like Kx, Jx, QTs, AQ maybe, and then sometimes KJs/JJ/55, but I expect him/her to raise those hands, because the board is wet, and there's another player in the pot.
Turn ($51.00) K 5 J 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $35, Sararauj raises to $194.42, and is all in
Now this spot gives me so much trouble.

Let's say your opponent jams on this river. Against any top pair + we have roughly 30% equity.
Roughly calculated the pot odds, and against top pair we need 36% equity to call. We block most of his/her combo draws, so I expect to but up against almost exclusively made hands.

So if we bet and get jammed on, we'd have to fold, which is super gross!
How do I semi-bluff turns with the chance of getting (c/)jammed on?

1. Make a big overbet jam. We have fold equity, and when called we still have 30% equity against any hand. We could balance that with hands like AA/KK/AK etc., which want to fast play this dry board anyway.

2. Bet a commiting amount where you price yourself in on a call.

I really hope you guys help me out with this one, as I've run into trouble here many times.

Was railing a nosebleeds game and in a similar spot, Wilhasha did make the big overbet shove with the FD with some other type of equity.


Thoughts?

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