Turn drawing problem again
Posted by Chael Sonnen
Posted by Chael Sonnen posted in Mid Stakes
Turn drawing problem again
BN: Hero: $272.01
SB: F.Khasanov: $205.84
BB: TheKing1958: $233.53
UTG: X646X: $104
HJ: RamiroAgujis: $122.23
CO: ricky04666: $223.20
SB: F.Khasanov: $205.84
BB: TheKing1958: $233.53
UTG: X646X: $104
HJ: RamiroAgujis: $122.23
CO: ricky04666: $223.20
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
4
X646X folds, RamiroAgujis folds, ricky04666 raises to $6, Hero raises to $18, F.Khasanov folds, TheKing1958 folds, ricky04666 calls $12
X646X folds, RamiroAgujis folds, ricky04666 raises to $6, Hero raises to $18, F.Khasanov folds, TheKing1958 folds, ricky04666 calls $12
Not much on Villian.
Flop
($39.00)
8
3
T
(2 Players)
ricky04666 checks,
Hero bets $24,
ricky04666 calls $24
Turn
($87.00)
8
3
T
7
(2 Players)
ricky04666 checks,
Hero checks
Pre-flop/flop is pretty standard in my eqes, but now the turn.
He shouldn't have many two pair that defend a 3-bet OOP. Maybe 87s, but I think he'll c/jam here with a ton of combo draws, slowplayed sets.
I don't think that I can make a +EV 1/2 pot bet here because he has so many of the hands I mentioned above.
If I did bet half pot and he jams, I need 20% to call, which I don't get, so I'd have to fold.
If I overbet, which I might do with hands like AA and combo draws, I will have the right price to call. Also gives me more turn fold equity.
If I check, I can hit my flush, and an Ace sometimes gives me the best hand.
And since he probably expects me most heart combos, I can bomb the river and get hero called more easily.
He shouldn't have many two pair that defend a 3-bet OOP. Maybe 87s, but I think he'll c/jam here with a ton of combo draws, slowplayed sets.
I don't think that I can make a +EV 1/2 pot bet here because he has so many of the hands I mentioned above.
If I did bet half pot and he jams, I need 20% to call, which I don't get, so I'd have to fold.
If I overbet, which I might do with hands like AA and combo draws, I will have the right price to call. Also gives me more turn fold equity.
If I check, I can hit my flush, and an Ace sometimes gives me the best hand.
And since he probably expects me most heart combos, I can bomb the river and get hero called more easily.
River
($87.00)
8
3
T
7
6
(2 Players)
ricky04666 bets $40,
Hero folds
Really lost as to what the right play is.
On a board this connected, I'm going to give up with most bluffs, so checking back is probaby good.
On a less connected board though, I think I should bet small, to have more bluffs in my range.
Thoughts?
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