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TT OOP VS CO (5NL)

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

TT OOP VS CO (5NL)

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: AByCyy: $12.18
SB: c'mon fish: $5.00
BB: Mr.K Bond007: $6.25 (Hero)
UTG: benattack: $4.43
MP: chilli60: $5.00
CO: yashinek: $15.85
Preflop ($0.07) Mr.K Bond007 is BB with T T
2 folds, yashinek raises to $0.15, 2 folds, Mr.K Bond007 raises to $0.45, yashinek calls $0.30
Flop ($0.92) 9 4 6
Mr.K Bond007 bets $0.67, yashinek calls $0.67
Turn ($2.26) 9 4 6 4
Mr.K Bond007 bets $1.67, yashinek calls $1.67
River ($5.60) 9 4 6 4 5
Mr.K Bond007 bets $3.46 and is all in, yashinek calls $3.46
Is value shoving here okay considering he can have some suited 9-x, and potentially pocket 77-88? I wasnt worried about JJ because that wouldve raised flop or turn, and QQ+ wouldve 4 bet preflop.

5 Comments

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Sliphex 9 years, 4 months ago

I don't think villain is calling with a lot of worse hands although it's hard to say given that it 's NL5 ^^

...maybe the following isn't completely right because I'm very new to this theory stuff but my thoughts on this:
If your Value Range here is 99-AA, u have 33 Value-Combos (3x99 and 6x TT+)
and by shoving u are giving your opponents 3,46 : 12,56 odds (27,64%), so if you (GTO wise) want to make him indifferent in calling u need to have 33 value hands and 12 bluffs and I don't know where these 12 Combos should come from (other than maybe AhKx or AQhh / KQhh which would be only 6 combos) so i think if u jam here, your range is too value-heavy....
thoughts on this?

KatonBond 9 years, 4 months ago

Thank you for the reply! Im also quite knew to theory things and such but what you said does make sense. I agree with you against regs i guess i should potentially check fold river? Or maybe check turn? I guess tens arent strong enough to go for three streets on this board texture.

However I do encounter some fish in this stake that call off pretty light when faced intense action, but i have no reads on this guy but that being said do you think that justifies stacking off here with tens?

Sliphex 9 years, 4 months ago

IF the average player at NL5 calls off here with 77,88,98s,T9s,A9s,TT (and ofc 44,66 and 99) than yes, you have 73% Eq vs this range.

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