Triple x/c w twopair on monotone flop vs an agg rec

Posted by MatoStar

Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes

Posted 4 years, 5 months ago

Triple x/c w twopair on monotone flop vs an agg rec

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players) BB: $70.91
UTG: $65.79
UTG+1: $50.00
MP: $75.15
MP+1: $50.00 (Hero)
MP+2: $46.34
CO: $54.16
BN: $92.92
SB: $52.49

Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP+1 with A K

3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, MP+2 folds, CO calls $1.50, 3 folds

He is playing 29/18 over 45 hands, but have a note that he is a whale and play flop pretty aggressively

Flop ($3.75) 9 J K

Hero checks, CO bets $1.78, Hero calls $1.78

Relying on my read, that he is playing flop pretty aggressively, I am deviating from my standard approach against rec players with my hand, because AK doesnt want to be facing an x/r against someone who probably raises more often.

Turn ($7.31) 9 J K A

Hero checks, CO bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50

Cant fold right now, since I expect some AJ,KJ to value bet.

River ($18.31) 9 J K A 8

Hero checks, CO bets $8.50, Hero

I doubt he has got many bluffs on this texture.. really hard to find any though.. however, is he still value betting AJ? Vs a bigger sizing, I would be more inclined to just fold. But with my read that he is probably pretty weak and might be overvaluing his AJ,A9,KJ.. its kinda hard for me to justify an exploitative fold

7 Comments

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Ryan 4 years, 5 months ago

I’d call. Especially vs this size. Think he has worst value hands and your price is very good

Joey S. 4 years, 5 months ago

Agree! Hard to find bluffs but good price to pay sometimes. Sizing looks like he wants call from your range specifically, but still how to fold your equity :(

DNegs98 4 years, 5 months ago

Do you think they find triple barrels with underpairs here? Because I think those are the hands that they need to bluff flop and turn to show up with any bluffs in their range on the river. If you think they instinctually check back with sdv which is very common then I don't think they have any bluffs. However, given the sizing I think there's a reasonable chance this could be worse 2 pair trying to get value from AQ so even if we give them no bluffs I still think I call this hand.