Tricky river spot against a creative reg(2.5-2.5 euro live)
Posted by erdian
Posted by
erdian
posted in
Mid Stakes
Tricky river spot against a creative reg(2.5-2.5 euro live)
We have been playing a couple off hours. My tells on the reg is he can x/r bluff(he did it 3x fired on the turn and gave up on the river against another reg) overbet as a bluff and valuebet thin. Overall a thinking creative player. My image is nitty but he understand that I can think and analyze.
Hero midpos (600 euro) KQo Raise to 12.5
Creative reg(500 euro) Calls on BB Dunno if this information is interesting but dealer was going to take his cards away and he said something like ''NO! I am defently gonna play this hand''.
Flop 3d3xKd
Reg X Hero bets 15 into 27.5 pot and Reg Raises to 30. This can mean alot as I said have seen him bluff here but it was 3x and not 2x which seems weird. If he wants me off Ax and low pairs 3x seems like a better raise? I more or less made my plan here to call all turns but Diamonds and probably fold to a river bet as I havent seen him fire 3 bullets out of pos as a bluff.
Turn 9x Reg bets out 52.5 into 87.5 pot Hero Calls dont see that turn changing much and he fires second barell on any turns in my opinion.
River 9x board(Kd3d3x9x9x) Reg tanks then jams remaining 400 euro into a 200 pot... Hero? I dont get this is he trying to bully me off a Kx? Guess my range is face up here. In my opinion one off the worst river cards to jam on since it DOESNT change anything. I think he understands that and therefore this is very strange. He got there with 9dX? Or he is valuebetting a 3x?
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Seems like a very villain-dependent spot, and that your opponent is polarized to 33, 9xd, and 3x. Although it's unlikely he goes for value this way with 3x, and doens't have much of it in his BB defending range. My advice would just to be ignore where you are in your range since this is a pretty extreme scenario, and like you said, your range is face up anyways. Just play the river in a vacuum and call if you think he bluffs often enough and fold if you think he doesn't. I would imagine that most villains aren't bluffing here often enough and even if he is, sacrificing a little bit of equity in the pot by avoiding a super high variance play can never be too bad ;).
Thanks for some feedback this hand really made me think hard about if I did right/wrong move. The only thing that I can disagree on is that he will prolly valuebet 3x this way since he reads me pretty well. The rest information is really helpfull as off thinking in variance terms. I did fold and actually showed him the hand hoping he would turn over a bluff (guess most people want to show off in these spots.) he just smiled a mucked his hand. Saying something like ''I dint want a call and I had a worse K''. Would be really sick if he got there with K9 although the river maby saved myss ass in that case :).
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