TPTK v turn shove
Posted by DiamondClub
Posted by DiamondClub posted in Low Stakes
TPTK v turn shove
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (5 Players)
UTG: $10.15 (Hero)
CO: $10.00
BN: $9.98
SB: $13.48
BB: $8.34
CO: $10.00
BN: $9.98
SB: $13.48
BB: $8.34
Villain is 21/18 AF=3, 3B=10% (10 out of 104) CB=67% over 264 hands. He had never 3bet v UTG (0 out of 31 times).
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
K
A
, , , , , ,
What do you think here ? Would you consider folding ?
Flop
($3.20)
9
5
K
,
Turn
($8.20)
9
5
K
3
,
Well I block AA and KK so theres only 4 combos left of that, then there's another 9 combos of AK that I chop with. I also block the NFD, so I think AA/KK/AK are more likely also given his PF action, maybe he has KdQd, KdJd. So for calling his shove I need to be right here 30% of the time. If he does this w/ all AA, KK, AK combos and KdJd I have 38% equity and should call. The problem is that I doubt that he will squeeze w/ KQs,KJs every single time and I also doubt that he will shove AK OTT every time. Against AA,KK,AK I have 31% equity and a call is therefore marginally +EV.
Loading 3 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.