TPTK drawy board vs giant sizes

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TPTK drawy board vs giant sizes

LJ: 160
HJ: 324
CO: 419.63
BN: 605.70 (Hero)
SB: 400
BB: 400
UTG: 424.92
CO: 39/18
SB: 21/16 W$WSF 51 (75) Check/Raise Flop 21 (14)
Preflop (6) (7 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
UTG folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO calls 4, Hero raises to 16, SB calls 14, BB folds, CO calls 12
Flop (52) K 7 8 (3 Players)
SB checks, CO bets 16, Hero calls 16, SB raises to 72, CO folds, Hero calls 56
Reraise? Calldown? (Look at his x4,5)
Turn (212) K 7 8 T (2 Players)
SB bets 144, Hero calls 144
Giant size!! Fold?
River (500) K 7 8 T 9 (2 Players)
SB bets 168, and is all in, Hero folds
fold? bluffcatchet vs someshit FD?
Final Pot
SB wins 497.85
Im lost baby :(

6 Comments

Loading 6 Comments...

James Hudson 12 years, 2 months ago
With it only being a minraise back to the villain on the turn I'd just make my decision there. He'll have to call it off if he was semi bluffing anyways due to the price he's getting.
James Hudson 12 years, 2 months ago
This is kind of a player pool dependent thing. If you always get shown sets in this spot it's prob best to just make a hero fold but if you find that regulars can be aggressive in these spots then a call looks good.
Tom M 12 years, 2 months ago
Yeah - I can't see callng turn to fold river with these stacks. I don't think his range changes on this turn.
flatbreadpizza 12 years, 2 months ago
I like a fold on the flop. A tendency to not 3bet from the sb or not 3bet much in general might chnage my mind but I don't expect him to have worse for value ever, IThere really aren't that many potential semibluffs in his range. I don't expect him to slow down if he is bluffing and we are going to have a hard time calling down, and sb flatting ranges are narrower so that he has 99 88 here more often than in most situations. I think this is a spot where c/r stat doens't mean much. As played I like a fold on the turn too. T9dd jtdd may slowsdown and his very small range of diamonds AQdd AJdd a9dd? qjdd? Turned more equity almost always and our hand only stands to get worse on the river
James Hudson 12 years, 2 months ago
You're right that his cold calling frequency is a huge variable here and even if we know that it's going to be affected by the fact that a fish is entering the pot in all likelihood.

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