TPGK vs double overbet range?

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TPGK vs double overbet range?

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $66.43 (Hero)
SB: $16.79
BB: $2.59
UTG: $16.51
MP: $16.00
CO: $35.99
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BN with Q K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.48, CO folds, Hero calls $0.48, 2 folds
Flop ($1.20) K 4 5
MP bets $0.56, Hero calls $0.56
Turn ($2.32) K 4 5 9
MP bets $2.56, Hero calls $2.56
River ($7.44) K 4 5 9 J
MP bets $12.40 and is all in, Hero folds
Villain is unknown
What range can we put this guy on OTT+OTR?
I fold bc most of his bluffs get there though I don't know if he would bet that river size with set or 2pair.
Final Pot MP wins $7.11
Rake is $0.33

2 Comments

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Dddogkillah 8 years, 3 months ago

WP easy fold, villain range is expanding considerably on the 9s Jh run out, and like you mention there really isn't many bluffs in his range besides maybe some missed GS, unless he is turning 1 pair type hands into a bluff.
Im not sure what your environment is like, but double over-bet will most likely be weighted to value given the assumptions we made about his range.
I think his river range is polar to sets at a weighted frequency and flushes.
NH wp imo, over folding is probably the way to go here.

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