TP v NIT
Posted by Colin252
Posted by Colin252 posted in Low Stakes
TP v NIT
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $13.52 (Hero)
SB: $30.39
BB: $10.00
UTG: $10.68
MP: $15.29
CO: $34.16
SB: $30.39
BB: $10.00
UTG: $10.68
MP: $15.29
CO: $34.16
BB is 15/13 and tight/passive post
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BN with
Q
J
, , ,
Flop
($0.55)
Q
8
2
, ,
Turn
($1.11)
Q
8
2
T
,
River
($1.11)
Q
8
2
T
4
,
Final Pot
BB wins $1.06
Rake is $0.05
Rake is $0.05
For flop calling I give him TP+ less half his sets, 99-TT, 8x, g/s Ax & Kx rr fd. 72% v this range to see the turn.
FZ rates the Tc as the best card in the deck for his range v our hand, and even if he continues 70% which is all Tx+, FD, OESD we still only have 45% so my intuition to check seems correct.
otr as villain seems passive, we have 3% v his value range, and with little air, he doesn't seem the type to turn made hands into bluffs so it's a trivially easy fold given all the above - didn't feel that easy in game fwiw.
Your thoughts RIO?
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