TP facing heat in SRP.
Posted by daddy80
Posted by
daddy80
posted in
Low Stakes
TP facing heat in SRP.
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $2.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $2.50, 1 fold, hero calls $1.50 Flop ($8, 3 players) 
hero checks, UTG+1 bets $7, BTN folds, hero calls $7 Turn ($22, 2 players)
hero checks, UTG+1 bets $18 Final Pot: $22Villian is 22/19.3.7 over 1.1k hands. WWSF 59. Raise 1st from MP is 22 %. He cbets 70 % and 75 % på turn.
Whats your plan on turn here?
Loading 5 Comments...
first off i think a good point WM2K mentioned is villain cbet into 2 players on a very wet board which is obv. not good to cbet bluff in general, even worse multiway.
further i think we should not interpret too much into villains cbet stats in general facing this 3way spot + bad cbet board..
de.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Jd9c7cAh
Equity Win Tie
MP2 68.33% 65.36% 2.97% { JJ+, 99, 77, AQs+, A9s, KTs+, QTs+, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, AcJc, AcTc, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, AJo+, KJo+, QTo+, AcTd, AcTh, AcTs, KcTd, KcTh, KcTs }
MP3 31.67% 28.70% 2.97% { QsJs }
we need 31% equity for a breakeven call on the turn which - if the range i`d assign villain for 2barreling get`s kinda close - our turn call itself might be breakeven. but the fact we can hardly ever call a riverbet (which shud be very likely vs our perceived weak range). therefore i think calling the turn in a vakkum might be close to BE but since we wanna have a multi street plan i think calling the turn becomes -EV.
had this hand happened in a HU pot we obv. face different ranges which is why a turn call will imo be + EV in that scenario.
Be the first to add a comment