Tough Turn (?) Is just callin the River the best option?
Posted by MateuzEmilio
Posted by
MateuzEmilio
posted in
Low Stakes
Tough Turn (?) Is just callin the River the best option?
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 100.5 BB
BB: 107 BB
UTG: 188 BB
MP: 104 BB
CO: 101.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Kd Kh
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop : (9 BB, 3 players) Ts 3c 3h
SB checks, BB bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB, SB calls 4.5 BB
Turn : (22.5 BB, 3 players) 4s
SB bets 6 BB, BB raises to 17 BB, Hero calls 17 BB, SB calls 11 BB
River : (73.5 BB, 3 players) 6h
SB checks, BB bets 23.5 BB, Hero calls 23.5 BB, SB calls 23.5 BB
BB shows Ac Td (Two Pair, Tens and Threes)
(Pre 24%, Flop 20%, Turn 12%)
Hero shows Kd Kh (Two Pair, Kings and Threes)
(Pre 58%, Flop 71%, Turn 83%)
SB mucks 8d 8h (Two Pair, Eights and Threes)
(Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 139 BB
Loading 3 Comments...
I think the hand is played fine. If we dont raise otf, I think the calldown its ok. They both can have 3x in range. I think I'm raising otf to take value from his Tx.
I guess im folding turn vs unknowns here.
Relying on the balugatheorem (esp. in MW-pots): If a bet gets raised OTT, one pair hands are mostly beat.
Hero is totally uncapped and still BB decides to go for it vs 2players in a bad position
Against pool as a whole, the turn is probably a fold as played. Be sure to note this/these players for quick reference in future. We have to call river if we get there as played. We only call turn if we think they are betting QQ/JJ/Tx and if we make that assumption, we likely have to call river since QQ/JJ can value bet vs a poorly played Tx hand.
Flop raise seems intriguing but we don't have much value that wants to raise this dry board (if we have 3x, its the nuts with A3s or nutted with K3s. If we have TT, we have to let overcards lower pairs catch up at least one street. So value raises are kind of merged here always. KK seems ok to do it with at least some of the time. QQ will rip thinking AT/KT, JJ might even rip too if you are up against right player.
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