Tough spot with the top or our range
Posted by ilares
Posted by ilares posted in Mid Stakes
Tough spot with the top or our range
Blinds: $3.00/$6.00 (5 Players)
UTG: $603.10
CO: $752.90 (Hero)
BN: $599.64
SB: $1338.09
BB: $214.50
CO: $752.90 (Hero)
BN: $599.64
SB: $1338.09
BB: $214.50
Preflop
($9.00)
Hero is CO with
Q
A
, , , ,
Flop
($108.00)
Q
4
5
,
Turn
($216.00)
Q
4
5
5
,
River
($504.00)
Q
4
5
5
8
vilain is a reg on anonymous tables; 0 info
so preflop, flop and turn is standart, but then villain shove on a SPR of 1! (you can notice he 1/2 then 2/3 and then pot)
i'm pretty sure we can exclude KQ of his range, so we loose versus KK (6), AA (3), 67s (4), A5s (2) ,maybe a 44 (3), and we tie versus AQ (6)
we win versus some flushes draws, and random bluffs, if he has these 15 combos of value he need at least 8 combos of bluffs for me to make a break even call...
i'm not sure every regs bluffs their flushes draws here 100%, and he needs AT LEAST As2s, As3s,AsKs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s KsJs, KsTs
i don't think i'm being exploited folding AQ here.
thoughts?
(i have A5s, 56s, 44, 55, 67s, maybe even 88 so i think i'm not so overfolding)
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