Tough Spot Live 1/2
Posted by lancemarx
Posted by lancemarx posted in Mid Stakes
Tough Spot Live 1/2
Sorry if this is the wrong forum for this.
Readless on villain (been at table for less than an hour and haven't seen him showdown) but he's like a 40 year old white dude who has clearly played before. OTTH
Raise from LJ to 10 and Villain calls, BU calls, to hero in SB with AdQd calls and BB calls. I think squeezing here is fine but I'm usually calling here OOP and I'd rather use AQo as a squeeze since it plays so poorly multiway. Also, the guy who is raising in the LJ hasn't open raised before and have seen him limping. So yeah, squeezing is standard and so is flatting and that's not what I'm really worried about in this hand.
Flop: Qx8d2x rainbow
Hero checks (I think leading out is just as good or better but pot controlling is fine and I'm expecting a bet most of the time anyways). Villains bets 50 into ~50 Hero calls rest fold. Pot ~150
Turn 6 completing the rainbow. Hero checks and villain bets 200. Hero has 260 behind approximately. Hero?
It's a spot where we have to jam or fold imo. I think this spot will seem like a snapjam to most people, and I understand that, but at the same time villain never has any bluffs here so we should be way overfolding. His range is something like 22, 88, KQ, AQ or something like that and I doubt this exact player has QQ or KK or AA. The pot flop 5 ways and overbet turn is a super nutted fish line and it's hard to imagine him vbetting a worse hand (maybe KQ but I doubt that's overbetting here). If I'm not calling with this hand I'm only calling sets but against this line maybe an exploit fold isn't that bad?
Hero tanks for ~4 minutes and jams.
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