Tough 1/2 river spot with set
Posted by 2smart4u
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2smart4u
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Mid Stakes
Tough 1/2 river spot with set
1/2 live 10 handed, stack 550 effec with villain,
In a very limpy loose passive game, standard for 1/2. Had another hand against same villain where i called down with qq on k67k5 and he showed 55 for rivered boat. Misplayed that hand according to many of you on here. So interested to see your thoughts on this wild ride of a hand.
On the button with red 55, utg villain limps, utg+2 big fish sitting on 220 makes it 12, folds to me, i call my button, villain calls. 3 way to the flop which comes 3sjs4c, pot 39
Reason for calling, seems standard considering stack sizes. As well, villaim limps from all positions with about 75% of his holdings, so the odds of face a limp reraise were small.
Action on the flop checks to me, i check back. Thoughts? I think stabbing with the 5 of spades is much better than red 5s. Allows me to continue easier on alot of turns, plus block alot of flush combos.
Turn comes the 5c, villain checks, fish utg1 makes it 10 into 39, i raise to 50. Villain tanks and stares me down, then flats. Fish snap folds.
Raise size large as fish was very call station heavy, didnt want him block betting and get away cheap with flush draws, jx, etc. Villains line on the turn is interesting, i would think from previously play of his he would raise most of his straights on the turn being a2,62,67, all combos including off suit combos are likely in his range. I would also think he would lead most of his jx on the turn considering he would have the lead on the turn given the action. So ranging him i would expect mostly flush draws, some occasional jx, certainly sometimes straights possibly trying to trap me.
River, pot 144, comes kc, board reads 3sjs4c5ckc,
Villain proceeds to snap lead for 200. These are poker pro machines, not chips, snap is less than 2 seconds of action and thinking in this instance.
What do you do? I find it hard to put him on a hand thats worse than ours, i guess maybe 33,44, but i would think those are leading turns quite often. Same with kj which is certainly a possibility, but again seems unlikely he checks twice with that hand. In the previous hand i mentioned, he made a similar donk lead on the river when rivering the effective nuts, however that was in a pot half the size, where i showed substantially more weakness. He bet 65 into 75 i believe it was in that spot.
All things to consider. Some help would be great.
Loading 4 Comments...
Fold we have a bluffcatcher and our blockers are not good, + I also don't see many bluffs for that line + timing
I say he had Ac2c, would make most sense to me the way he played it.
staredown from fish = stronk,
A few times that fish eyefuck me have either flopped a flush or when facing a big bet and ending up having a house/set
Preflop I think it's fine
Flop I would have bet small as 55s is often good here and lots of hands that would check/fold in our villains' range that we deny equity from.
I think given the typical 1/2 reg does not vbet enough and the bet sizing villain is very polarized. I don't see sets or 2p's as a meaningful % of his range otr given action. I'm not sure if that impacts our specific holding so much as we beat most of those value hands.
In general folding here kind of sucks as 55s is likely our strongest holding without a flush. Given some of club draws flats on the turn I'd imagine we don't have enough hands to call if we only call with a flush. This is assuming the villain is capable of turning even some made hands on the turn like pair and SD or a jack into a bluff. I didn't read your other post on this villain so I'm just guessing.
Given the over bet size however I don't mind a fold. Or flip a coin lol.
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