top two OTT facing 3b NL5z

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top two OTT facing 3b NL5z

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $6.01
SB: $5.28
BB: $14.16 (Hero)
UTG: $5.55
MP: $7.91
CO: $2.10
Villain is 22/17/7,5 3b/ AG 1,5/55% flop cbet over 230 hands.
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with J Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.14, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.09
Flop ($0.30) 2 J 5
Hero checks, MP bets $0.22, Hero calls $0.22
Turn ($0.74) 2 J 5 Q
Hero checks, MP bets $0.55, Hero raises to $1.55, MP raises to $7.55 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot MP wins $3.68
Rake is $0.16

Since I do not see him overplaying an overpair or 3b bluffing or semi-bluffing in this spot, I decided to fold especially since no 2p combos are available that I beat. So I'm putting him on a set exactly. Is that too pessimistic?

I frequently get into trouble with top two on dry boards when I raise. Should I be calling down instead? Donking river?

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