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TOP set on 235d SRP MPvsCO 300b deep

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TOP set on 235d SRP MPvsCO 300b deep

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (6 Players) BN: $2.91
SB: $2.00
BB: $2.00
UTG: $1.52
MP: $6.10 (Hero)
CO: $10.00
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is MP with 5 5
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.06, CO calls $0.06, 3 folds
Flop ($0.21) 5 3 2
Hero bets $0.10, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.20, CO calls $0.90
Turn ($2.61) 5 3 2 8
Hero bets $1.60, CO calls $1.60
River ($5.81) 5 3 2 8 K
Hero bets $3.23 and is all in, CO calls $3.23
Final Pot MP lost and shows three of a kind, Fives.
CO wins and shows a straight, Ace to Five.
CO wins $11.97
Rake is $0.30

villain is 44/38 over 53hands

I expected villain to 5b shove with str8 and call down with weaker holdings however did I overplay or got coolered vs this type of opponent ?

Thank you

2 Comments

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Saperlipopette 4 years, 9 months ago

Sample is pretty small, villain can be more nitty postflop that you think. I like to chek the WTSD % to see if they are station or not.

Since you are 300 bb deep, I like to be a little more cautious with very strong hands that are not nutz. Yes villain seems to play a lot of hands but it also means a nutz advantage for him here (46s, A4s, maybe A4o). 88 and KK are unlikely but still possible.

I think flop is fine, tho the sizing of the 3bet is very big, and it forces him to call only with very good hands. 1$ would be fine too. Flop and turn sizings may be ok if villain is ultra station, but definitively on the big side. River is only 60% bet BUT also 360 bb / almost 2 BI so its more likely villain will make huge fold like 2p+, maybe 22-33, so you are more likely to be call by straights, 88, KK and sometimes lower sets.

So it really depends on the player here, if he's super station and would never fold 2p the hand is fine, but if he has normal WTSD stats I would prefer a 3bet of 1$ on the flop, maybe 1/2 bets on turn and river to keep his calling range wider.

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