top pair facing x/r on flop then bet on turn
Posted by esso.g
Posted by
esso.g
posted in
Low Stakes
top pair facing x/r on flop then bet on turn
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (5 Players)
UTG: $26.55
CO: $26.59 (Hero)
BN: $70.13
SB: $6.29
BB: $26.22
CO: $26.59 (Hero)
BN: $70.13
SB: $6.29
BB: $26.22
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
A
Q
, , , ,
Flop
($1.86)
J
5
A
, , , , ,
Turn
($7.64)
J
5
A
5
,
villain is 24/20 over 90 hands / 8% 3bet pf /squeeze 11%
when villain x/r i should still call?
once i get on turn and villain continu showing aggression on this board do i fold when i call flop i have to call on this card on turn
Loading 8 Comments...
Otf he is repping Twopair +, GS
Five is a great card imo, unless he is raising some Bottom pair+BDFD ( which I love but there is only 1 combo (Ac5c), maybe 2 more (65s)
So going to continue on the turn, expecting him to continue with some hands like KQ, KT, QT, he should have suited and unsuited variantscalling from BB.
If he gets to turn with all them thats a different story, but id imagine he has a enough to make a break-even+ call.
Do you think after the 90 hands you have played with him, he is aggressive enough to have bluffs here and to continue on river?
What's the bottom of your range for continuing on that flop? If we think his range is two-pair + and GS, AT-A6 are all equal, right? AQ is better because it can turn a two-pair that counterfeits AJ, AT-A6 can all turn two-pair which counterfeit A5 (but not AJ). He's rarely (?) check-raising in that spot with a bare top-pair.
So AQ is an obvious flop call. I'd be calling flop with AT-A6 but then kinda unsure with those hands on the turn. I'd feel like if we're calling with all those hands OTF and then folding them all on the turn, we're going to be folding a lot to turn barrels. So I guess we'd need to call with some of those hands OTT too... but they're pretty much equal! So shouldn't we theoretically be calling with all of them? Maybe I'm missing something...
cant say if hes aggressive enough to make a bluff hard to say
Weird spot because I don't expect villain to have many bluffs on this texture, specially at these positions. The turn is bad for his bluffing range since his 55 and A5 combos are now less credible. So unless he is really bad to be bluffing here with KT whatever he is showing a lot of strenght by betting turn. Since we don't have much info and the turn reduces considerably his value range I would peel once again but I don't expect to see many bluffs in villain's range
Why wouldn't he have bluffs here?
He has allot of two pair and some sets on the flop. Do you think he just bets his value hands?
I don't know how much sense that makes.
What hands do you think he is using to offset his value hands?
Honestly I think I agree with the Dogster :)
He does not have a lot of two pair, since he may squeeze AJo and A5s preflop like a lot of people do and he has only 3 combos of sets since AA and JJ definitely squeeze pre. So, lets say he squeezes AJ with 50% frequency. There are only two Aces left in the deck, so he has 6 / 2 = 3 combos of AJ, 4 combos of A5 and 1 combo of 55. His total value range consists of 8 combinations of hands. Thats pretty narrow, and it may be even less than that. Most people are x/c their whole continuing range on this texture on a SRP, simply because they can not rep enough value hands to balance with bluffs. On the top of that, this board favors the aggressor by a good margin, so villain should be less inclined to start putting money in with a range disadvantage. If he starts x/r KT for example, he has already 16 combos of bluffs. Thats why I don't expect to see a lot of bluffs
I agree with the guys - turn is a good card for you, and I think that Villain could still be barreling his GS combos + AA/JJ/AJ* sqz pre.
yeah makes a lot of sense
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