too ambitious shove OTT?
Posted by Marcitko
Posted by Marcitko posted in Low Stakes
too ambitious shove OTT?
SB: $6.88 (Hero)
BB: $2.00
UTG: $2.02
MP: $2.03
CO: $2.06
BB wins and shows a pair of Aces.
BB wins $3.86
Rake is $0.14
I've been tring to implement the advice as given in the thread I opened previously:
http://www.runitonce.com/nlhe/slightly-positive-6max-nl2-player-wantin/
I've been opening wider and 3b-eting more. It seems to be more profitable, so thanks! Today's session was 26,9/21/7,5. Agression still only 1,84.
Villain is unknown.
I called a 3b here in SB because I assumed his range would be very wide. It still probably crushes my QTs so it's a speculative call.
OTF I 3b to get him off his air and smaller pockets than JJ, as I like to 3b draws. Not sure how well this works in 3b pots where ranges are much stronger. He also bet less than half pot which I took to imply weakness.
When he calls the flop, he has AJ minimum, overpairs, and possibly a spade draw (AKs seems the only realistic one, so my shove becomes worse). Sets would shove I assume.
OTT I shoved since I picked up equity and the K seemed like a nice scare card. He should not have a K here, except possibly AKspades, and QQ/AJ/spades without K should fold.
Thoughts?
Ps. OTT I have 30% equity against an overpair. How can I calculate the fold frequency required to make it a breakeven shove? Even against aces, I assume there should be some fold equity since he should be scared of me having JJJ or a speculative smaller set that got lucky (which I'm repping).
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