tilt hand review
Posted by guljo
Posted by
guljo
posted in
Low Stakes
tilt hand review
Thoughts on all streets and my thought process appreciated.
Hand was played on my mobile, so I have no stats.
Against balanced PF 3b range of (TT+,AQs+,A5s-A2s,KQs,AQo+,A5o-A4o) I have ~ 55% equity so with position advantage call seems the best move.
On the flop against the same range my equity is ~ 59%. I wonder here what part of his range is not Cbetting here? Perhaps QQ+ some part of the time? Reviewing all 3 options, call seems most natural, but would put me to the really tough spot on the turn, I basically have to fold any non J turn. I expect a random opponent to give up bluffs with zero equity OTT and his range is crushing me. So in this case it would be better to fold the flop.
Raising causes him to fold his bluffs and only his top range is left. So he should fold ~70% of his holdings. A bit more than click back looks like the best option here, if i make it 8$ and he folds more than 50% it is an +EV move that looks much better than fold or call. Fold seems like a second best option.
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