I certainly DID NOT EXPECT HIM TO PEEL WITH JUST A GUTSHOT

Ok so on the flop I lead and expect to get folds from every hand except TP+ and maybe JJ or TT... BB range should be extremely wide and I can certainly have a bunch of Qx here so they have a lot of reason to believe me. C/c should be a line I play too but I am unbalanced here so I just lead these type of hands... 77 I would just c/f. 88 probably lead.

How did you reach the conclusion that leading 99 OTF is best with those assumptions?

Ok so the turn brings a really nice card only question do we wanna bet or check/raise.... i think I want to check/raise from time to time here but as an exploit I bet this hand 100% of the time.. should probably bet a little bit bigger...

XR OTT is very good if you believe he will bet most Qx and FDs, but betting yourself gets better the more he checks back those hands. It's probably quite close against most players.

River I expect him to get here with some flushes.. one straight JTc and a lot of toppairs.... since my range does have some busted flushdraws here and he has a lot of bluffcatchers I think it's correct to overbet on the river with my range.

You should try to assign villain a reasonable range and check equities of different parts of your range here. If most of your range has around 55% to 75% equity you need to mostly check OTR. I thinks stacks are a little too deep to shove hands with 70% equity against villains entire range and they have too little equity to bet 2/3 to 3/4 pot.

I think you played the hand correct but wouldn't opt for a riverjam as what can villain call with?

and more importantly don't criticize his play, I love his play. This is what pays our bills. and he had a double gutter fyi.

Don't donk.

Lol @ river. This would make me mad too :)

Would you feel any better if he shows you QQ AhQh KhQh QhJh QhTh JhTh JcTc Ahxh 7h6h 7h5h 6h5h 6h4h 5h4h?
Because the fact that he shows up with 53o there should make you feel better and not worse. It means he pays your (bad) play off way more often than he should and you win way more money in the long run than you would against me for example.
The only hands in his range that I can see call river and lose against you are probably sets 66 and 33. Maybe some Qx if he's the station you think he is. But I believe a smaller sizing otr gets you payed off way more often than this shove. And if you bet somewhere around half pot otr you can happily fold to his raise.

handlooks too strong to bluff with otf

I would never have a donk lead range in this particular spot.
99 is also an awful hand to it with, since if we get called we are gonna have to check every non Q/9-turn and be in an awful spot if one villain bets since they may do with both their Qx hands and draw hands.

This is a x/c or x/f otf depending on villain reads/bet sizings.

If we were in the BB calling, with MP opening and SB calling, I like a donk range much more on Q63cc, especially if MP is reg and SB is a fish. In this particular spot with a hand like Qx w/ weak kicker I really like donking since it forces MP to play his hand face up/not getting creative w/ fish in pot and we also protect a vulnerable hand + gets value from SBs draw/weak pair hands.

This hand got me mad...

Need to be more like

MadDogJanda?

Do some meditation.. =)