T8o: Fold straight vs weird line? (NL 100)

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T8o: Fold straight vs weird line? (NL 100)

BB: 100 (Hero)
CO: 36.85
BN: 134.99
SB: 200.35
Preflop (1.50) (4 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 T
CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to 2.50, Hero calls 2
Flop (6) 4 9 6 (2 Players)
SB bets 4, Hero calls 4
Turn (14) 6 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets 9, SB calls 9
River (32) 7 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets 22.40, SB raises to 184.35
Hero has 61.6 left and needs 31% Equity to call

I think the call preflop is fine.

On the flop I am not folding w a GS, but do not want to raise on this flop.

The Turn is a bet. The 6 hits our range much better than Villains and he is going to check/fold a lot in this spot.

The 7h is obv a great card and a bet for value.


What is your play after Villain check/shoves the river? 

What is the weakest hand you are valuebetting on the river?

What is the weakest hand you are bet/calling?


Thx for your help :)

4 Comments

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Chael Sonnen 10 years, 9 months ago

What's his SB open percentage? You need this to figure out how many boats he has. Also, how often does he c-bet?

Readless, I'd probably call but not feel good about it. That's fine though, as you only need to be right 31%.

You have a lot 6x to hero fold. If you fold this hand (and perhaps raise sets and two pair on the flop), you only have a couple of calling combos.

I used to make these explo hero folds all the time, until I noticed they were just running me over with random bluffs.

Anyone want to bet that Bigfish would fold? :D


jonzocker 10 years, 9 months ago

yeah sry did not mention it:

It is an an anonymous tables and I do not know Villain


I
do agree that we are on the top of our range. I still do have all
boats, because I am not raising this flop at all. Would be interestet if
you think that is a mistake?

As played I do not see people on NL100 taking this line as a bluff and think we can make an exploitive fold.


W_R_A_R_W_R_A_R_W 10 years, 9 months ago

Villain probably has any boat except for 46o. It's barely relevant though, he also needs to play them like this.

Maybe people make random bluffs, but this spot is quite typical for a very strong hand. Even so, the range we get to the river with contains a bunch of strong hands that we can snap with and we shouldn't be bluffing too much on this runout, so his unlikely bluff won't have much of a return anyway. 


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