Such equity, much lost (nl200)
Posted by SuchPoker
Posted by
SuchPoker
posted in
Mid Stakes
Such equity, much lost (nl200)
Full stacks.
I open $5 in BTN w/4c6c, SB 3-bet to $15, I call
Flop ($29) Qd 4s 9h, Villain bets $15, I call
Turn ($57) Jd, Villain checks I check
River ($57) 4h, Villain bets $36, hero??
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my first thought is that if he's any good and was going for a turn c/r, he'd overbet the river with his nutted hands.
However, he shouldn't really expect much of your range to bet on that turn, since it gives alot of your hands pair plus draw that would rather check and realize their equity/get to SD. So the turn check looks like pot control, and the river sizing looks line like thin value, making me want to raise river. if he's truly capped here, you should choose a big bet size to polarize your range.
btw, i wouldnt worry much about your kicker; the only 4x he might have is A4s and there's only one combo
Lol @ pic
Do you raise the river? And if so, to how much and are you calling a jam for a tiny bit more monies?
I like call, the hands you beat likely fold a lot
yes, raise AI. it's pretty close though; I doubt a call is losing you much EV as played
so equity. much jam.
Fold preflop you must!
PF is bad, flop is meh.
Raise / fold river.
Fold pre, call river. I think raising is really thin tbh. Hard for our hand to look like a bluff by CR'ing. I'd expect to only get called by better fours (unlikely, but there are a few) and flushes.
we can't CR, being IP. also, there are no flushes possible
BOMB THAT SHEEIITTT.
then fold to a raise
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