Statistics after 100k

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Statistics after 100k

Hi
It is my statistics after 100k. I think I have pretty good W$SD = 56% and WWSF = 45 so I bluff a lot (or a little?).
Still, my winnings are quite small. I win about 2bb/100hands.

I do not know what to think about it. Where can I make mistakes? Am I a station? Probably not because I win 56% of showdowns. Am I unlucky in the long run? Or where is the problem?

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Thank you for your feedback!

8 Comments

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Tir-X 4 years, 7 months ago

Nothing wrong with your VPIP if played okay postflop. I believe you are 3betting too wide from MP (eg. mine is 6% and I'm a 28/23.5/10 player), possibly from CO too (eg. mine is 8.65%). You are playing against a strong openrange when sitting in MP/CO and there are several players to act behind, my experience is that most players on your stakes will loose money when 3betting more than around 4-5% from MP/CO (not saying it's bad to 3bet more but the more you 3bet, the better postflop skills you might need).

I think the WWSF should be higher (eg. mine is 54.6%) but this is a very common number for grinders on micro. In time, when your ranges fall into place on every street and therefore you give up less and less hands, know when and how to fight for pots, it will increase. So that's a tricky leakfind spot as well, impossible to say based on a few stats where to go. Your river cbet might be too low (giving up too often) and one common mistake for micro players is a very low bet-check-bet line as a bluff, giving up too much there (can't see a stat for this here, just saying).

You are winning a lot of showdowns, this is a very high number for it. Because your winrate is not high, this is possibly a problem. The two main reasons of a too high W$SD (these two are for sure a leak in your game as they are in every microstakes players' I've ever seen):

  • You are a bit nitty when it comes to bluffcatching and fold too much
  • You are not valuebetting thin enough (when you do sometimes they fold and when you check and go to showdown, those cases go to your won at showdown stat but otherwise it would be a non showdown pot in some cases)

The problem is these kind of stats are too general. Any time you want to detect possible leaks from your stats, I suggest adding the following ones for sure (even then it's just going to be a few hunches to go for, for a real leakfind hands and thoughts need to be discussed).

Crucial stats for any leakfind that are not on your pic:
- Preflop RFI for positions
- Preflop cold call for positions
- Skip flop cbet and check/fold
- Skip flop cbet and fold to turn probe
- River call efficiency

That's it for now, it's too ling already :D I hope I helped a little bit, GL!

TK1991 4 years, 7 months ago

my RFI is :11, 15, 27, 45, 45

What does mean river call efficiency? I have 1.45bb.
Could you explain what does it mean and why it is important?
Thanks!

Tir-X 4 years, 7 months ago

River call eff. meaning:
- 1 means your river calls are breakeven
- less than 1 means you are losing money with your river calls (you'd be better off if you would've folded all of them)
- higher than 1 means you are making money with them

If the number is too high, that's an indicator that you might be calling too tight, folding to too many bets you should be calling (and therefore losing them sometimes). The question is how high is too high. I suggest looking around on your stakes, if you have a reasonable sample size on any of the good regulars. Check their numbers to get a feeling about yours. It's hard for me to say what's too high because the stakes, the different player pool can matter a lot with this stat.

Tir-X 4 years, 7 months ago

The distribution seems absolutelty fine to me.
Of course there's a big range of what can be good. You could be more loose but you don't have to, might even say you shouldn't be yet! First thing is putting other things in order. So RFI is all good.

cdubdiddly 4 years, 7 months ago

I would 2nd the not value betting thinly.
This is not a stat I've looked into but I know I like to v-bet thin and I am running 59%/44%/58% flop, turn, river c-bet% which would suggest I am more likely to triple-barrel than double-barrel. This is a combination of v-betting thinly and finding good bluffs (& give-ups!).

Some other observations.
I see your BTN VPIP and PFR running very closely together. I could be wrong but there might be a few hands+situations you want to play for calls from the BTN at least some of the time. For example AXs and low pockets with fish in the blinds or calling opens from players with low PFR. I'm running 34/30/8.1 for +38bb/100 from the BTN, finding calls and sometimes even overlimps at especially soft tables.

Also your BTN and CO cbet% are high so you're probably unbalanced in a lot of spots where you don't want to play for stacks.

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