standard?
Posted by zinom1
Posted by
zinom1
posted in
Low Stakes
standard?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (5 Players)
BB: $39.04
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
CO: $83.54
BN: $6.82
SB: $25.00
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
CO: $83.54
BN: $6.82
SB: $25.00
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is UTG with
Q
Q
, , , , ,
Flop
($5.88)
2
4
9
,
Turn
($13.60)
2
4
9
2
,
River
($29.14)
2
4
9
2
J
,
no reads.
Loading 5 Comments...
River has to be a fold I think. Villains barreling range is weighted so heavily on Ah and Kh that it feels like a huge strech to suggest that villain would have worse hands that he shoves on the river at any significant frequency.
What if river is the Jd?
I could be raise - fold on the flop
This price it's going to be pretty hard to find a river fold w the Qh. I do expect to run into Kh/Ah a lot though. I just don't think folding is good without some read we probably won't ever have.
I think our expectations improve on the Jd to answer the question above but I would just call both rivers.
It's always a stretch to argue the way I am going to but even on higher limits this sort of ugly betsize planning of 1/2 1/2 1/3 mostly ist just overpairs that these players bet like this.
The only good thing tbh is that if bad and overexcited/tilted he's probably/maybe also just sticking in his KK/AA w/o a heart on the river.
For that price probably just a call.
As soon as you have sqz-stats from villain you can and should quite often probably consider to 4b QQ pre but w/o stats I am fine with the flat.
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