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SRP BTN vs BB Qh9h5s - A Pio Write Up

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SRP BTN vs BB Qh9h5s - A Pio Write Up

SRP BTN vs BB Qh5s9h BTN: 55% equity

On this flop we use a 2 sizing strategy. Sets, two pairs and overpairs are bet always with the big size. Strong Qx bets big, Q8 and lower checks and bets small. Strong 9x K9+ mixes big bet and check and weaker 9x mixes check and small bet. 5x is mixed with a higher frequency check, with added draws we end up betting mostly with the big size. 22-44 are bet often for the big size with a heart and checked without. JJ, TT and 88-66 are always checked. AT, AJ, AK are checked at a fairly high frequency, with hearts the betting % improves. A9 and below off suit is bet very frequently. Broadways are a very high frequency bet, with only KQ no flush have a sizable checking range.

Turn: Ac after X/X BTN: 56% equity

BB now has a block and a big bet with equal frequency of 10% each. The big size revolves around 2 pair + and the small size around Ax, the Ax is bet at a very small frequency max 30% w/ AT down to almost 0% with A3. Our 2 pair + is bet at a higher frequency, A9 / Q9 blocking more of villains calls will bet with a 60% frequency and 55 & 95 unblocking more BTN calls will bet at a 100% frequency. Most of the bluffs are flush draws and open enders (JT) and wheel A draws. We mix bluffs between both ranges heavily favouring the big size, always favouring the big size with our strongest draws.

Turn Ac after X/X and BB check.

BTN plays an even more polarised strategy, using an overbet 21% of the time, 2/3rd pot 9% of the time and the small size 5%. As the range is similar I will just use an overbet sizing here. The value cut off for overbetting is AJ, w/ AT very occasionally overbetting. We are now in a situation where nobody has any very strong hands, as bet ours on the flop and BB probes the turn with there strongest hands. We now have much more strong Ax and two pairs and this makes up our value range. We have no need to bet any of A8-A6, A4-A2, Qx, midpairs. Our bluffs are made up of all of our gut shots and open enders (J8, T8, 87, 86, 76, 54, JT) at a high frequency as well as flush draws. 66 w/ a heart and 22-55 that checked the flop with a heart are now bet at a high frequency with 33 & 22 betting without the heart.

BB vs delayed overbet

BB now has a pretty logical response to the overbet, calling all Ax. Qx is mixed but very low EV and only low Qx are called at all (Q7 and lower) with Q2-4 calling the most and QJ-QT pure folding. This is because our most frequently used bluff from BTN are JT / KT / T8 / J8 so unblocking these is vital with our Qx calls. There is a smattering of raising here, but it is mostly our strong value that we bet the flop with 95% of the time so it only makes up 1-2%.

River Jc BTN equity: 50%

We again have a two sizing strategy as the BTN using an overbet 40% of the time and 2/3rd bet 30% of the time. The overbet size consists of Ax two pair and the 2/3rd size consists of lower two pairs and AK. All Jx are now checked as well as 66, which has showdown value against BBs 5x+draws that missed. 44/33/22 are always bluffed, the weaker the pair the more likely it is to overbet. Kx hands that we have even with a heart get bluffed a good amount blocking the nuts. As well as all our low showdown value hands like T8, T7, T6, 87, 86, 76 and 5x that barreled the turn is also turned into a bluff.

BB vs River Overbet

Qx 2 pairs and J9 are very marginal hands that will be sensitive to BTN having enough bluffs through this line. You prefer to call these hands without a heart unblocking a lot of the BTNs bluffs. J5s of which we only have hearts will always be folded as we do not beat any value hands and block bluffs. All Ax two pair are called as well as AT and A8 with AT being a fairly high EV call and A8 being very marginal albeit still almost full frequency. A2-A5 and A7-A6 are always folded. Because our strongest hand through this line is AJ, we do not get to have any raises.

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