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Squeeze Pot FD+GS (Paired Board)

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Squeeze Pot FD+GS (Paired Board)

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $4.85
SB: $10.87
BB: $43.79
UTG: $12.80
MP: $10.00
CO: $10.10 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is CO with A Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 2 folds, BB raises to $1.25, MP calls $0.95, Hero calls $0.95
Flop ($3.80) T K 7
BB bets $1.60, MP folds, Hero calls $1.60
Turn ($7.00) T K 7 T
BB checks, Hero checks
River ($7.00) T K 7 T 3
BB checks, Hero checks

No stats, do you think i have to raise OTF? i like my x/b OTT but should i bluff the river?

13 Comments

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taaazz 9 years, 10 months ago

We're not repping that much otf when we raise (TT/77 exclusively, imo), so I'd prefer to have some nut hands in my calling range as well, and not be capped at KQ as far as the top of my range goes)

As played, I'm not sure - the turn is a very good card for our range, and we have tons of equity, we also block stronger Kx, and it would suck if he goes for a BXB line otr with a hand like AJo or QJo, and we can't really call.

I guess I would either bet the T+R, because he never (very rarely) has Tx here imo, or just XB and show down (no point in betting the R then, imo).

Samu Patronen 9 years, 10 months ago

Preflop and flop pretty standard, shoving is also an option on the flop but we do have some showdown value since we beat some hands (AJ mainly).

Turn and river are well played too. I don't see too much point in betting on the turn or especially on the river, because like I said earlier, we do have some showdown value. I would turn AJ into a bluff and fold out villains AQ.

Betting the turn only makes sense if we're going to barrel the river aswell, but for us to do that villain has to fold like Kx atleast sometimes, and I don't think he will do that very often. Villain can easily play every Kx this way since he knows that turn card sucks for him.

sauloCosta10 9 years, 10 months ago

We have all 77, TT and KTs combos in our range, with which we are going to be raising almost 100% of time OTF since its very wet. Therefore I think we should be raising pretty big here to shove the turn. We have tons of equity against his range and he might even fold AK and AA to a raise here. Also his sizing shows a bit of weakness, what makes it even more a raise. Another point is that by raising and getting it in we get to realize all of our equity when he calls + we apply fold equity. Also if we just call the flop it gets pretty easy for him to play his range on scary turns and rivers

Tyler Forrester 9 years, 10 months ago

Its kind of weird because a GTO solver basically never checks out of position, but if I force it to check 100% then we're losing 2 cents by betting. 2.44 < 2.46.

It seems like it doesn't really matter here whether you bet or check this particular hand without more information. If he has some sort of check/fold > 40% then its a bet.

Overall, I'd be more concerned about my alpha matching my value range. Its relatively unimportant which hands you choose to comprise alpha.

That's probably more than you wanted to know.

Limp Limpson 9 years, 10 months ago

always betting the turn and jamming all rivers (except for Tx and Kx prob), that card is too good for our perceived range I think and I dont think we have that much SDV, esp since villain might bluff some rivers even if we are ahead (which is rare).

Im really surprised that gto solver never checks oop, since I think that villain should be checking the turn with most of his range.

colombian20 9 years, 10 months ago

Hi guys i appreciate all your opinions, for the guys who say "bet turn and river" i have a question, OTT the pot is 7$ and i left 7.25$ what sizes should i use? or i can shove OTT, sorry about my english i hope you can understand my request.

Limp Limpson 9 years, 10 months ago

oh I didnt calc effective stack sizes ott. Yeah jamming then.

But this also makes checking back the turn a bit more attractive. I just assumed that villain is likely to xC once with his Kx hands. Now we need to decide if he is capable of xFolding Kx to a one bet, even if its a big one.

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