Spot with 2nd pair facing large bet on the river
Posted by n4sty
Posted by
n4sty
posted in
Low Stakes
Spot with 2nd pair facing large bet on the river
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
SB: $12.65
BB: $10.48
UTG: $14.50 (Hero)
MP: $7.29
CO: $9.70
BN: $10.83
BB: $10.48
UTG: $14.50 (Hero)
MP: $7.29
CO: $9.70
BN: $10.83
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
J
J
, , ,
Villain running 20/13 and had just taken the same 3bet betsize versus me with 33 (we went to showdown two pair versus his set)
Flop
($1.55)
2
2
Q
,
Villain tripple barrelled on a wet board with a set last time, but not much to go on as to why no cbet here.
Turn
($1.55)
2
2
Q
9
, ,
I would usually stab this turn and think maybe this is the best play? I don't want to give away equity and I think I still get called by worse, I also get to control the pot size more.
River
($3.55)
2
2
Q
9
3
, ,
Bet size throws me, considering I expected a cbet on the flop I think villain has a slowplayed QQ and some AKdd, (AQdd, JTdd maybe) although it's hard to figure out a range.
I think I could have bet the turn here, but as played I think I'm close to the top of my range, I bet any FD or Qx on the turn.
Loading 6 Comments...
I think your check OTT is good, I don't mind betting too
OTR you are beat by 22, QQ, 99 (maybe 33) and diamonds (mainly Axdd imo), his sizing polarise his range, so i don't think he bets that big with a hand like AQ. I also don't think he is turning a hand like TT, 88 into a bluff. You beat JT, KT, KJ and maybe some random bluff but it's unlikely as he would mainly Cbet his air OTF.
I would fold this one and probably call on a 3o river
you call on 3o but not on 3d -> it have logic ,but villian will bluff on 3d and dont bluff 3o .D
What now?
I'm not sure he will bluff more on a 3d than a 3o. If he has a hand like JTdd, he will probably feel obliged to bluff OTR. I just think that the 3d improve his range more than 3o. But yeah, if you think he never bluff on a 3o it's a fold but I don't think so.
I'd fold. He might expect you to lead T+R with most of your Qx combos, so he's probably leveling you into calling with the hands like yours + the only hands we block are his semibluffs, which isn't helping.
fold, people underbluff, his sizing screams that he wants you to level himself and he has legit valuerange. If he were to bluff, he'd either stab otf, or rep thinnish valuebet. "Polarised" ranges almost always weigh towards value, esp in spots like this one
His flop check confuses me. probably has like QT QJ. anychance of result? curious to see what he took this line with.
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