Small pot River Call?
Posted by Marrek
Posted by
Marrek
posted in
Low Stakes
Small pot River Call?
BB: $50
SB: $77.45 (Hero)
SB: $77.45 (Hero)
50 hands. Villain's BBVPIP = 35%, 3bet = 12%. Villian was aggro pf, but was tight pf, so his ranges were stronger. His AF was very high, but his agg% was in the 30s, so he basically didn't call very much.
Preflop
($0.75)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
2
Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $0.75
Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $0.75
Flop
($2.75)
K
A
Q
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero checks
Turn
($2.75)
K
A
Q
6
(2 Players)
BB bets $1.63,
Hero calls $1.63
River
($6.01)
K
A
Q
6
A
(2 Players)
BB bets $3.50
Villain's pf calling range is big card heavy, with A2-AJ or so. I also expect him to bet some Kings for value here (even tho its a chop), so is there any reason to think someone is going to bluff enough here?
Is the chopping potential slightly good for us since we lose vs fewer of his value bets, or is it bad because he'll value bet fewer of his chopping hands?
Also, i'm not sure how to feel about the ace pairing. That should lower his AX combos, but it should also lower his bluffing frequency.
Thoughts on everything?
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