Simple call?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Simple call?

BB: BB: $9.70
UTG: UTG: $32.24
HJ: Hero: $24.15
CO: CO: $19.80
BN: BTN: $25.38
SB: SB: $14.19
18/16 with small 3b from BB (4,5) His flop CR is only 3%
Preflop ($0.30) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.60, CO folds, BTN folds, SB folds, BB calls $0.40
Flop ($1.30) 3 7 8 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.78, BB raises to $2

His range looks like sets, a few over pairs and nut flush draws.

Even though at first it looks like I have a lot of equity I am doing quite bad against this range ~37%

My intuitive move was just to shove AI with all the equity I have, which I think is a mistake now. I think call and reevaluate turn seems like best.


What do you think?


thanks!

13 Comments

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PT 11 years, 1 month ago

deff agree with u that u deff should not shove. call an make a decision is what I would do for sure. like your thought process all the way


mplecki23 11 years, 1 month ago

I'd love to know how you're 37% against his range. I can't come up with anything remotely close. Do some work in PPT and you'll have an answer.

guljo 11 years, 1 month ago
I gave him a range of TT-77,33,JdJh,JhJs,JsJc (half combos of JJ) ,AdKd,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad8d and we have ~37% against this range. I dont think he calls with 78s and 9Ts PF in case he does we have 40% equity.

I am constructing the ranges using Equilab

mplecki23 11 years, 1 month ago

You listed 27 combos. For a flop ch/r of 3%, he'd have to be vpiping ~75% from the bb to have a 3% flop ch/r. If he has 18% vpip from bb, he's still ch/r ~12% of his range. 

mplecki23 11 years, 1 month ago
Well you don't think he defends T9s/ 87s, and range of {sets} is 9 combos, at 3% ch/r, 9 combos would be 300 combos defended, or ~25% of all hands. This would include T9s and 87s nearly always. Considering he's 18/16, I think that would be the upper limit of his pf range, and that is also assuming he is never 3betting from bb.


Ondrej Rysavy 11 years, 1 month ago

JJ,AQ ??? here? not raise pre:?

18/16 with small 3b from BB (4,5)-still this is 99+,AQ+


guljo 11 years, 1 month ago
I am not so sure about that his BB 3b is vs all positions, I guess he is opening tighter against HJ open.


A bit off topic but AQ 3b vs HJ becomes a bluff here I don't think he can continue against 4b, also when he 3b most of worse A ans Q are folding so he is playing a dominated hand OOP. I am not saying that you should never 3b AQ against HJ but doing it 100% doesnt seems right.

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