sick spot at 500z 450 bigs effective vs river jam.
Posted by Demondoink
Posted by Demondoink posted in Mid Stakes
sick spot at 500z 450 bigs effective vs river jam.
SB: $2233.09
BB: $2651.84 (Hero)
UTG: $2260.20
MP: $708.97
CO: $2139.15
this hand was vs a presumed fish whom I didn't have many hands on but seemed to be on the tighter side. i'm pretty much at the top of my range here- I don't have QQ/TT/55 ever. sometimes have 44 but would almost always raise the turn with it if I floated with the 4 of spades and binked it on the turn. I don't defend Q5o/Q4o. Q5s I would sometimes have in my range, perhaps 50% of the time. and Q4s I would never raise the flop or turn so I have 100% of the time.
the question is-1 is he ever bluffing??
and 2- is he jamming worse for value??
1-in my opinion its extremely unlikely he is bluffing unless he turn a hand such as KQ in to a bluff- putting me on Q4/44 of course and knowing he doesn't beat any value but blocks top boat and unblocks 44 which can basically never ever call vs the jam. so actually bluffing KQ makes quite a lot of sense here in my opinion. but again, I believe he was a rec so he may never do this.
2- not sure but maybe?? if he's a rec he might think I'm raising a Q here like QJ on the river and jam TT/55 or maybe even AQ. again, unlikely but certainly a possibility.
would like to hear some people's opinions, especially those who play 500z or perhaps even higher. cheers.
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