Sick river spot w/ boat
Posted by eaSy_
Posted by
eaSy_
posted in
Low Stakes
Sick river spot w/ boat
$0.05/$0.10
SB: $7.76 (77.6 bb)
BB: $18.35 (183.5 bb)
UTG: $48.88 (488.8 bb)
Hero (MP): $18.15 (181.5 bb)
CO: $9.35 (93.5 bb)
BTN: $11.04 (110.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 6h 6s
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, CO folds, BTN calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20
BTN is reg, SB and BB unknown
Flop: ($1.20) 6d Ad Kc (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BTN calls $0.70, SB folds, BB calls $0.70
Turn: ($3.30) Th (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2, BB folds
River: ($7.30) Ks (2 players)
Hero bets $3.60, BTN raises to $8.04 and is all-in, Hero folds
Is he ever bluffing here? Would he ever do this with QJs? I need 19% to call and put this range on equilab: AKs,KTs,QJs,AKo, gives 36% if he has QJs obviously. Maybe it's just a check-call OTR, I really don't know. What do you guys think? I remember almost throwing the mouse through the window when I saw the raise lol
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so sick that even convertor didnt digest it
What does villain do with KQs,KJs? What about KQo, KJo?
What about QdTd, JdTd??
Does villain get to river with Td9d, 9d8d, 8d7d?
Is villain 3betting AK PF?
I think it's close but I like X/jamming river.
You should have planned jamming river OTT. So you should be betting a bit large OTT and jamming river for PSB.
What are the optimal sizings here you think? 90 into 120 flop, and then 65-70% turn and jam river?
Sounds good. You see, you MP bet in 3 ppl OTF, whatever the sizing it is very strong. So no reason to make it small, all Ax mostly call OTF, many peel with gutshots expecting to win huge if hit 4-outer. So don't make it small. Turn is another story, just size it 70% turn, 70% river allin (if possible). If not, bet larger OTT, up to 90%, anyway you rep AK...
i'd bet bigger - especially otf - calling ranges are the widest and we look strong betting in a 4way pot no matter what.
I'm not sure about the R - I mean, I'm defenitely calling as played (only KTdd beats you, as AK/KK+ squeeze pre like always) - he might be shoving QJ or Kx since you have so little behind, and you're getting sick pot odds - never folding here.
What I'm not sure about is the sizing - whether it's better to go for a small sizing (like 1/4-1/3) or jam. I doubt we're getting a crying call from AQ-AJ type of hands (who knows, though), and I'd hate Kx/QJ to call sometimes, so I guess I prefer jamming.
I think x/c (or x/r if he bets really small) is close to optimal, but it needs confirmation. River K doesnt fit your range very vell, since you rarely betting with Kx on the turn. So this turn and river sequence transforms a lot of your hands to bluffcatchers only, and since your checking range would be very weak, im considering x/c with 66. He will bet Kx and staights himself.
Only reason to bet 66 here is if opponent is calling station who will call with Ax. Even then you have tough desicion on the river, because you cannot predict how bad will opponent play. Occasionaly even most passive opponents can throw a random bluff or thin valueraise if they feel it. So, given pot-odds, im never folding to raise, but probably this hand should start with x/c OTR.
P.S. Biggest mistake here is to let your emotional reaction mess up with your mind.
I like betting bigger on earlier streets, so we can jam the river.
I dont think that Kx hurts out range that much, since villain should never have naked kx and we should never have naked ax. I dont think that we need to protect our range by checking, since our range is so nutted anyway.
this
Bet bigger on flop & turn and jam river.
As played supergross but I'm not folding.
Thanks for the help guys, really appreciate it
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