Sick hand BvB
Posted by sauloCosta10
Posted by
sauloCosta10
posted in
Low Stakes
Sick hand BvB
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $16.00
SB: $16.00
BB: $18.47 (Hero)
UTG: $6.93
MP: $16.52
CO: $35.72
SB: $16.00
BB: $18.47 (Hero)
UTG: $6.93
MP: $16.52
CO: $35.72
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is BB with
6
8
, ,
Flop
($0.80)
8
8
9
, ,
Turn
($1.80)
8
8
9
6
, ,
River
($4.58)
8
8
9
6
6
, ,
I used a big sizing OTR because I'm gonna have a reasonable amount of bluffs, like JT, Q7, K7, J7 and so on. Is his line anything but the nuts every single time? No reads
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You should size down OTR because you block his calling range. You block all quad combos and can be chopping, so I would call.
Which 8x you think he checks flop with?
Which 99 combos do you think he checks flop with?
I think he will always check 99 OTF
I think this might be an interesting spot to see whether we can look at a different application of the Zeebo theorem, one which might be more relevant at lower stakes. So instead of:
“No player is capable of folding a full house on any betting round, regardless of the size of the bet.”
Perhaps we can also say:
"No player is capable of not getting it all in with any full house"
And then we can look at all the reasonable boat combos and see which ones we're ahead of and behind of.
We're behind to: 8x, where x>=9, and 99
Chopping with: 8y where y <9
Ahead of: 6z, where z is any card.
And maybe there is a very small % of the time where he's bluffing, but he's probably doing that less than 5% of the time.
So based on those assumptions it seems like it should be a call, but my assumptions could be completely wrong. If you folded this then I have a huge amount of respect for your discipline and mental game :-D
Actually we are chopping with any 8x, except 98.
I'm still a mental game fish but I did fold, because I think he doesnt shove 6x OTR, and I block that, and he doenst check/call flop with many of those, probably ony 96, but he probably doesnt open 96o, so its like 1 combo of 96cc. I also think he always plays 99 and 98 like this, and that he never has bluffs. I also don't see him checking any 8x trips OTF, so combining all of this, I folded
Epic Zeebo Theorem ;D
Actually we are chopping with any 8x, except 98.
Lol excellent point, I'm a fish.
I think he can easily check any 8x OTF to catch you on the other streets, don't like the fold here, if you lose against 99 or 89 is a big cooler.
You dont like my assumptions then, because with my assumptions there is no other play I think. I could check DB for this but I doubt there would be many hands. I just dont expect people to cehck 8x here
SB x BB std
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