Should I fold?
Posted by Chael Sonnen
Posted by
Chael Sonnen
posted in
Low Stakes
Should I fold?
BN: $100 (Hero)
SB: $216.10
BB: $53.25
UTG: $80.34
HJ: $128.51
CO: $269.40
SB: $216.10
BB: $53.25
UTG: $80.34
HJ: $128.51
CO: $269.40
BB seems to be a recreational player.
No other reads
No other reads
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
9
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB calls $1.50
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB calls $1.50
Standard open, not much to note.
Flop
($5.50)
7
4
Q
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $4,
BB calls $4
Standard c-bet. I expect to get a decent amount of folds on this board, and I can barrel a spade, club, King, Ace, ten and nine.
His calling range probably looks like: Qx, 7x, 4x, 56, small spade draw, Ahigh, OOP floats.
His calling range probably looks like: Qx, 7x, 4x, 56, small spade draw, Ahigh, OOP floats.
Turn
($13.50)
7
4
Q
K
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $11,
BB calls $11
Betting big on turns is something I've been doing a lot lately. It puts Villian in difficult spots.
Range for continuing: Qx, incorrect 56 call, small spades, maybe 7x.
Range for continuing: Qx, incorrect 56 call, small spades, maybe 7x.
River
($35.50)
7
4
Q
K
8
(2 Players)
BB bets $35.75, and is all in,
Hero calls $35.75
Spades missed, but 56 got there. He should only have the 4 suited combos of 56 to defend, but he might not know that.
He probably c/r QK on the turn, given stack sizes and all the draws.
Q7 probably c/r flop, so I lose to 12 combos of Q8, and 4 combos of 56s.
Call or fold?
He probably c/r QK on the turn, given stack sizes and all the draws.
Q7 probably c/r flop, so I lose to 12 combos of Q8, and 4 combos of 56s.
Call or fold?
Final Pot
BB has
Q
8
Hero has
K
9
BB
wins $104.20
Loading 6 Comments...
Chael this is more a levelling spot.
1) WHen im playing a weaker player, I would always level myself into calling their Pot-size RIver bets, because i thought they are capable of bluffing to some extent.(which is clearly a leak in my game)
OTR you have to realize what VIllain is Bluffing with.
hands like FD/56/58/68/78/T(c)J(c)/ are the likely Draw range that Villain could be bluffing OTR
56= hits Straight/ and 78 is now 2-pair
68/58= Now has Showdown, so less likely bluffing
GIven u have K(s)9(s), u block a % of VIllains FD flatting range.
GIven calculation, K9s is ahead of VIllains overall COntinuance range Equity-Wise on 8(d) RIver card.
*)Its a hard call. I would fold
Fwiw: Chael dont post results, now im being results oriented :)
To do this, I've been copy pasta the hand from PT4 and then scroll down to the last couple lines and just make sure to delete all the way up to your part where it says ", Hero calls $35.75"
It's one of those spots where you know right before clicking the call button that you rarely win it. I'd rather fold versus a recrational player without a full stack. They won't donk jam as a bluff too often, but then again, we're fairly high up in range, and he's pretty capped.
You realize that VIllain only has 50BB stack size.
He has a Pretty awkward stack size for you to go for 3-streets Value.
Either take
CHeck/Bet/Bet line or Bet/CHeck/Bet line.
I think by Setting up PSB OTR, ur more likely Jamming urself if VIllain didnt Pot. So i dont hate the call that much, unless VIllain is has very unbalanced river ranges.
It's kind of marginal, but I was going to check some rivers.
Definitely not checking the flop, because we have no realised equity, but a ton of fold equity on a dry board.
If you dont know anything about his donks on the river its a guessing game where i may say all desicions are correct. I d check WWSF W$SD if sample is more than 300 hands, All players this type or very str8forward or very bluffy thats your aim to recognize before calling
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