Should I bet turn in this spot?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Should I bet turn in this spot?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $50.00 (Hero)
SB: $54.84
BB: $64.81
UTG: $86.73
MP: $75.20
CO: $70.21
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with 9 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, SB raises to $4.50, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50
Flop ($9.50) Q T 7
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($9.50) Q T 7 8
SB checks, Hero checks
River ($9.50) Q T 7 8 A
SB bets $7.00, Hero folds
Final Pot SB wins $9.02
Rake is $0.48

Villain 20/19/7% 3bet (only 5% from BB) small sample only 260h
Are you guys betting in this spot? I feel like he's not checking a Q or a T twice too often so I feel like I gave away equity realization for free. Just hate getting ck/r in this spot although it's probably happening at a low frequency so I guess I should just be betting, getting value from some 7x and Ax that didn't cbet/protecting from overs.

5 Comments

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Jeff_ 6 years, 6 months ago

you played it well, can bet turn sometimes nothing wrong with check or bet (can bet 50%, 33%). I'm betting turn with some Tx+ and mixing it with other pairs and pair + draw

Eldora 6 years, 6 months ago

I personally wouldn't be concerned too much about getting check-raised in this spot. This board is already one that the 3bettor shouldn't love on the flop and it's continuing ugly for his range on the turn. I would assume that this forces him to check many hands as strong as decent top pairs because HE would hate getting check-raised by us. So when trying to decide whether to bluff this turn or not I would be rather concerned that he has strong bluffcatcher hands he checked twice based on how ranges connect with this flop and not too much of getting check-raised.

Our hand is kind of sexy to turn into a two-barrel bluff given its nut blockers to various straights (J9s/K9s) and that we could make him fold many Tx by betting twice. But I'm sure checking it down can be fine too.

MatoStar 6 years, 6 months ago

Betting flop is also an option, he has many AK,AJ stuff and we don't want to get him free card. I think we shouldn't have a fear from some check-raises already OTF.
Once we checked flop, we can barrel smaller OTT, it may works as a blockbet to avoid some re-opening OTR and also get some calls from worse hands.

Eldora 6 years, 6 months ago

Even though the flop is pretty good for our range his range still is the strong 3betting one with lots of top broadways (that have hit this board quite well) and overpairs. Even top two pair is as much in his range as it is in ours. It's definitely an interesting strategy to think about but I wouldn't go that far here to shift this into a range bet with a small sizing personally.

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