[SH] NL100 Zoom repping 2.0

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[SH] NL100 Zoom repping 2.0

BN: $115.53
SB: $152.15
BB: $49.50
UTG: $114.62
HJ: $124.42
CO: $101.50 (Hero)
Villain is a sort of standard 22/19 player preflop. 3bet vs CO = 10%, 3bet overall from SB 14% so calling here to me looks like PP usually. He folds 47% to cbets and never raised in 10 opportunities.

His showdown stats are more interesting: 18% WTSD and 25% W$SD! This is over 700 hands.

What do you expect villain's calling range to be here? 44? 7x? Can't see any Kx in his range once flop Ks comes on the river. What about if river is 2d?
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt, UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB calls $2.50, BB folds
Flop ($7.00) 7 7 4 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4
Turn ($15.00) 7 7 4 K (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB calls $10
River ($35.00) 7 7 4 K K (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $45

7 Comments

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vanity02 12 years, 2 months ago
Flop range when called 88-jj maybe qq, kq aq aj discounted 77 44
Tun range when called tt-qq kq d77 d44
River I am betting as well based on his showdown stats. If he's a station I'm betting pot or more for value, and about 1/3-1/2 as a bluff.
gargamel_fk 12 years, 2 months ago
Vs standard reg I think that overbet is a really good idea cause Villian range is capped and he has like hero calling spot anyway so I want him to have tough decision there always.
However vs this particular Villian it is a bad idea imo. I mean doubt that your betting sizing change his calling range (unless you think that he is in the "I am done with you mood"). So his calling range will be like 7x, Kx( I think that he might have some Kx combo e.g. KsTs, KsJs or even KsQs if he didn't feel like 3betting your CO OR).

River 2d I would just bet entire range. I mean given his WTSD I will bluff till he prove me that he start to adjust and have some not nutted calling range on the River.
James Hudson 12 years, 2 months ago
I like your play here but I don't think there's any need to overbet. If he has 7x he's probably calling anyways and I would expect someone with an 18% WTSD to be folding pretty much everything else in his range. I'd bet 3/4 pot and save myself some money the times he calls.

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