[SH] NL100 Zoom QQ
Posted by EmanuelC16
Posted by
EmanuelC16
posted in
Low Stakes
[SH] NL100 Zoom QQ
BN: $169.70
SB: $128.65
BB: $33.48
UTG: $170.88
HJ: $52.32
CO: $198.95 (Hero)
SB: $128.65
BB: $33.48
UTG: $170.88
HJ: $52.32
CO: $198.95 (Hero)
Opener is a fish so a clear value 3bet, caller is a reg.
I have 2.2k hands on him, 18/16 so quite tight preflop.I think stats are not too relevant here especially since my question is: Is villain's barreling for value or as a bluff? Can you make sense of his check/raise? I called down because I think he is just full of it about 90% of the time but his hand surprised me a lot. What do you make of that?
I have 2.2k hands on him, 18/16 so quite tight preflop.I think stats are not too relevant here especially since my question is: Is villain's barreling for value or as a bluff? Can you make sense of his check/raise? I called down because I think he is just full of it about 90% of the time but his hand surprised me a lot. What do you make of that?
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
Q
UTG folds, HJ raises to $2, Hero raises to $6.50, BN folds, SB calls $6, BB folds, HJ folds
UTG folds, HJ raises to $2, Hero raises to $6.50, BN folds, SB calls $6, BB folds, HJ folds
Flop
($16.00)
4
4
2
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $10,
SB raises to $24,
Hero calls $14
Turn
($64.00)
4
4
2
A
(2 Players)
SB bets $35.49,
Hero calls $35.49
River
($134.98)
4
4
2
A
6
(2 Players)
SB bets $62.66, and is all in,
Hero calls $62.66
Final Pot
SB has
8
8
Hero has
Q
Q
Hero
wins $257.50
Loading 7 Comments...
On the flop through my experience is very likely a bluff that includes lots of Ax and some of his JJ. I think we have more than enough equity vs that range that we should be 3betting the flop and calling it off/jamming turn ourselves (maybe not this one though). I think calling to play turns is a mistake because there are a lot of scare cards which villain will slow down on/we won't be comfortable putting our stack in.
Board: 4d 4h 2d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 12.937% 12.94% 00.00% 10374 0.00 { JJ-TT, AdQd, AdJd }
Hand 1: 87.063% 87.06% 00.00% 69816 0.00 { QQ }
even vs a much stronger range with no total air,
Board: 4d 4h 2d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.552% 47.75% 01.80% 75165 2835.00 { TT+, AdQd, AdJd }
Hand 1: 50.448% 48.65% 01.80% 76575 2835.00 { QQ }
It's possible on the turn that he continues with JJ, but he also certainly continues with his Ax and especially AdQd AdJd. I think folding the turn as played is the best play because now we are behind his flop raising range significantly imo, assuming he doesn't continue with TT... Not only that, but the way we have played the hand we most certainly will be having really difficult bluff catching spots on the river where villain will own us.
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