Set vs Flush: Can we blame variance for this one? Or my river shove was bad?
Posted by fellipedepaula
Posted by
fellipedepaula
posted in
Low Stakes
Set vs Flush: Can we blame variance for this one? Or my river shove was bad?
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players)
BN: $4.12
SB: $5.75
BB: $5.07
UTG: $4.71
MP: $6.68
CO: $7.99 (Hero)
SB: $5.75
BB: $5.07
UTG: $4.71
MP: $6.68
CO: $7.99 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is CO with
3
3
, , , ,
Flop
($0.41)
J
3
9
, , ,
Turn
($1.01)
J
3
9
K
,
River
($2.51)
J
3
9
K
7
,
Final Pot
BN
wins and shows a flush, King high.
CO lost and shows three of a kind, Threes.
BN wins $8.06
Rake is $0.35
CO lost and shows three of a kind, Threes.
BN wins $8.06
Rake is $0.35
Thanks in advance
Loading 4 Comments...
QT, T8 and the flush got there. Your opponent needs to be a callingstation for this shove to be good.
Don't like this spot at all for a shove, as even a bad villain likely plays perfectly against it. It's an unlucky runout for you, but villain can't call river with worse and never really folds better. On cleaner rivers, shove is a nice play here.
shove just isolates you against the nuts. If villain isn't aggressive and unlikely to bluff raise river, I would go small for 1/4 - 1/3 pot as a block bet to get thin value from top pair/2 pair
Bet turn 0.95$ to have potsizebet river shove. You could bet 1/4 / fold as frontdoor said.
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