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set v pot river lead

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

set v pot river lead

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (6 Players) UTG: $34.01
MP: $13.21
CO: $20.00 (Hero)
BN: $18.29
SB: $20.37
BB: $72.73
Villain 30/24/12.9 over 78 hands
Preflop ($0.30) Hero is CO with J J
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 2 folds, BB calls $0.40
Flop ($1.30) 9 K 7
BB checks, Hero bets $0.90, BB calls $0.90
Turn ($3.10) 9 K 7 J
BB checks, Hero bets $2.05, BB calls $2.05
River ($7.20) 9 K 7 J Q
BB bets $7.00
He insta leads here for full pot.

5 Comments

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Limp Limpson 9 years, 7 months ago

sigh and fold
people underbluff and peole really underbluff otr and people really really underbluff when they bet big and people just dont bluff into ranges that contain the nuts. You should have some Tx in your range. If he is bluffing, you will pick it off eventually, take a note and own him. If you notice a lot of people doing it, adjust basic population assumption.

SPrince 9 years, 7 months ago

Call.
He doesnt have that many Tx w this line but he seems pretty aggro and could be bluffing flush draws like this.You also block JT but dont block any fd combos and youre close to top of your range. If you start folding everything except Tx here (which u dont have too many), you`re gonna be way overfolding.

Bandidas 9 years, 7 months ago

Agree with SPrince about the fact we will totally overfolding this spot if we start to fold this hand.
BUT, who care at this stack ? This spot will not come so often and even if... how many V will really exploit you here ?
SO, i think Limp Limpson is right, that a pretty easy fold. Vilain will reaaaaaally underbluffing this spot.

Sorry for my english. I'm french and my english is not so good.

Will Winaton 9 years, 7 months ago

I would chback flop.
As played I would fold until i have any notes about his game. I think at nl20 people probably tend to not donkbet bluff with pairs in these situations, and it's pretty hard for him to have air at this point.

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