SB vs BB - Raised paired board with flush
Posted by Shaun Pauwels
Posted by
Shaun Pauwels
posted in
Low Stakes
SB vs BB - Raised paired board with flush
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $66.56
SB: $25.00 (Hero)
BB: $25.35
UTG: $11.39
MP: $34.34
CO: $28.58
SB: $25.00 (Hero)
BB: $25.35
UTG: $11.39
MP: $34.34
CO: $28.58
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is SB with
6
K
, ,
Flop
($1.50)
7
Q
7
,
I decided to cbet this hand but was doubting between check/call and cbet here. Given that people likely still overfold these spots I decided to cbet, do it often and smaller size. Likely that I need to check here way more OOP in theory but exploitative we want to bet. That's my opinion at least, feel free to comment on why I'm wrong.
Turn
($2.36)
7
Q
7
T
,
This feels like a spot Peter Clarke would say is an overbet. BB raises a lot of his 7x hands, We have QQ, TT, AQ, AA, KK and now more 7x as well so we can apply a lot of pressure. And get away with a lot of bluffs because of this, bluffs that do have equity when called.
River
($8.86)
7
Q
7
T
4
, ,
So we actually get there. Now all I need to do is decide on a sizing. I decided for a size that I would want to bet with my thinner valuebets and even full houses that are blocking calling range. But it's likely I should have multiple sizing options here.
So we got raised, but do we call? Let's assume given the stakes that BB is not doing this as a bluff.
BB's value range:
77, 7Ts, 74s, Q7s, AJcc, A9cc, A8cc, A5cc, A3cc, A2cc are the value hands we don't beat for a total of 13 combo's.
QJcc, Q9cc, Q8c, J9cc, J8cc, 98cc for a total of 6 combo's we beat.
Now it is possible that BB doesn't raise all those flushdraws we do beat. And it is possible he considers A7 as a value jam. Hard to say readless. Let's look at some math instead. We have to be good 28.44%. So we do need him to bluff 6 combo's.
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