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River value sizing vs a rec

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

River value sizing vs a rec

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players) BN: $99.90 (Hero)
SB: $66.14
BB: $103.91
UTG: $90.73
UTG+1: $40.68
MP: $50.00
MP+1: $161.83
MP+2: $50.00
CO: $50.35
SB 81/25 over 65 hands
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with J A
3 folds, MP+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.75, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2.25, MP+1 folds
Flop ($8.75) 8 T 5
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($8.75) 8 T 5 7
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
River ($8.75) 8 T 5 7 9
SB bets $0.50, BB folds, Hero raises to $18.50
Now I think I want to maximize value from 6x which I think is decent part of his range - 76,86,56,A6,K6 not sure how wide is he, but given his VPIP I would say even 65o is possible.

What do you think is the biggest sizing which he is willing to call his straight with (the 6x)? My rough guess would be 2.5-3x overbet. Not sure though.. it sort of sucks when we hit the threshold and he folds with a 6x

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