River play?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

River play?

BN: camel64: $330.52
SB: FantonMojah: $201
BB: daymom: $208.93
UTG: Hero: $204.65
HJ: JeanThlemanh: $232.10
CO: pete royal: $339.03
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T Q
Hero raises to $6, JeanThlemanh folds, pete royal folds, camel64 calls $6, FantonMojah folds, daymom folds
Flop ($15.00) 8 9 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets $10, camel64 calls $10
Standard c-bet with two overs, a BDFD and a gutshot
Turn ($35.00) 8 9 5 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $25, camel64 calls $25
Standard turn bet.
River ($85.00) 8 9 5 2 Q (2 Players)

Should I value bet the river, or check-decide?

JT got there, but he should only have JTs, and I block one one them.
I think he'd raise a set on the flop, if not the turn.

So I could get value out of the few TT combos he has, and JJ, and I can pick off bluffs from FDs, maybe 67s or some kind of float that picked up a FD on the turn.

Given that there are more hands that bluff the river than made hands that call my river bet, I decide to check.


Thoughts?

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