River Donk
Posted by Nick Howard
Posted by Nick Howard posted in Mid Stakes
River Donk
SB: $201 (Hero)
BB: $214.96
UTG: $268.37
HJ: $1155.02
CO: $200.19
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $6, BN folds, Hero calls $5, BB folds
I think villain will be checking back KQ-AA here constantly. Neither of us should really hit the 9 so i pretty much view it as a brick .. i'm basically just thinking that i might get more value out of donking some flushes.
Intuitively I want to say that a donking range would also increase the EV of the flushes in our checking range -- if our checking range became weak enough for him to v-bet ~AQ-AA. But is this change in his strategy favorable to our range on the whole? Our QJ enjoys when his AQ-AA checks river, and ~QJ hands make up a much higher distribution of our range than flushes OTR. Again here i'm finding myself conflicted by:
1) playing what appears to be a better strategy with our flushes
but in the process
2) incentivizing villain to play a strategy that takes more EV away from our bluffcatchers
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